National Weather Service Raw Text Product

Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDAMA Received: 2018-10-12 05:49 UTC

FXUS64 KAMA 120549

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1249 AM CDT Fri Oct 12 2018

A range of VFR to IFR conditions at times are expected,
especially for the first few hours of the 06Z TAF period. TEMPO
group in place for KDHT/KGUY for IFR cigs. Once we go past 12Z
Friday, patchy fog should begin to diminish with some cigs still
remaining possibly at MVFR levels. Southerly winds currently will
shift to northerly behind a cold front later Friday morning with
sustained winds of around 15 kts behind the front. Winds should 
then veer back to the east and southeast after 00Z of 5-10 kts 
with low cigs below VFR beginning to shift north reaching KAMA 
with perhaps returning to MVFR conditions by the end of the TAF 
period. KDHT/KGUY should remain VFR through to the end of the TAF 
period with sct cigs. 



.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 647 PM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018/ 

For the 00Z TAFs, MVFR to IFR cigs along with patchy fog and
perhaps some drizzle plus attendant reduction in vsbys will 
continue at KGUY, KDHT, and KAMA through most of Friday morning. 
A cold front will also move through the terminal sites Friday 
morning with north winds in its wake. Improving conditions are
expected at all sites Friday afternoon.


PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 426 PM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018/ 

SHORT TERM...Tonight... 
Cloud cover looks to remain in place over the area tonight.  This
should hold overnight temps in the 40s. There could be some spotty
showers along with patchy fog.  A cold front is set to begin 
moving into the OK Panhandle around sunrise as a mid-level 
longwave trough crosses the Great Plains. 


LONG TERM...Friday through Thursday...
Remnants of Tropical Storm Sergio still expected to get caught up
in strengthening southwest flow aloft, crossing Baja and 
northwest Mexico on Friday, and to be poised to cross southern 
parts of the forecast area on Saturday.  Chances for rain 
increase Friday night and Saturday with southern sections expected
to have the best opportunity to receive appreciable rain.  

Cold front expected to make its move late Saturday night and 
Sunday, with chances for accumulating snows Sunday and Sunday 
night.  Northwest sections expected to cool enough early for an 
all-snow precipitation type Sunday morning.  A transition zone of
rain/snow expected to advance southeast across the forecast area 
Sunday and Sunday night.  The far southeast Texas Panhandle is 
expected to stay all liquid.  At this point, snow totals of 2 to 
6 inches look to be possible across northwest sections, generally 
west of a line from Guymon to Dalhart.  East of this line, 
amounts up to 2 inches have been forecast.  Areas east of a line 
from Canadian to Amarillo to Hereford look more likely to have 
totals below one inch. 

Cold weather expected through Monday night, with a hard freeze
likely Sunday night and Monday night across the northwestern 2/3
of the Combined Panhandles.  Respectable warmup expected on 
Tuesday and Wednesday as returning sunshine allows highs to rise 
into the 50s.



.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...