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058 
FXUS64 KSJT 122322
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
522 PM CST Sat Jan 12 2019

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

There's a slight chance for some patches of BKN MVFR/IFR CIGs to
develop across the forecast area during the 10Z-18Z time-period, 
but confidence too low to include in the TAFs. Otherwise, VFR 
conditions expected through 00Z Mon. Winds mostly at or less than
8 KT through 00Z Mon. 

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 246 PM CST Sat Jan 12 2019/ 

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Sunday) 

Temperatures this afternoon across West Central Texas range from the 
40s across much of the Big Country to the low to mid 50s elsewhere. 
Northwest winds of 15 to 25 mph, will quickly decrease late this 
afternoon and early this evening. Cloud cover will increase Sunday 
morning, especially across the Big Country. Overnight lows will be 
cold, with most locations dropping into the upper 20s to lower 30s. 
Below normal temperatures are forecast across the area on Sunday, 
with highs generally in the mid 40s to near 50 degrees. 

LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through Saturday)

Zonal flow to prevail across the Southern Plains through most of
the upcoming week. Weal shortwave will zip across South Texas on
Tuesday and may bring a few showers, but appears this will mainly
be south of West Central Texas. Gradual warming trend occur
through the week with highs climbing into the mid and upper 60s
for Wednesday-Friday.

Bigger changes for next weekend as a deeper trough moves into the
area. Very cold air in Alaska will make a southward plunge as
this upper trough passes, with the ECMWF showing an arctic cold
front plunging through the plains. GFS isn't as cold, but 
normally doesn't handle this type of cold air very well anyway so
will lean towards a colder solution for next weekend. Will drop 
highs into the 40s for most areas on Saturday with the raw data 
suggesting it may be even colder. Once the forecast details start 
to become a little more certain, temperatures may need to be 
dropped even more.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 	 30  45  30  50 /   0   0   0   0 
San Angelo 	 29  49  30  53 /   0   0   0   0 
Junction 	 29  53  31  55 /   0   0   0   0 
Brownwood 	 31  47  30  51 /   0   0   0   0 
Sweetwater 	 30  44  30  50 /   0   0   0   0 
Ozona      	 29  50  32  53 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...Daniels/07 
AVIATION 00Z TAFS...SJH