National Weather Service Raw Text Product

267 
FXUS64 KLUB 121726
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1126 AM CST Sat Jan 12 2019

.AVIATION...
MVFR ceilings gradually rising above action levels within the
first couple hours of the forecast. Potential for low MVFR or even
IFR conditions to develop Sunday morning. Gusty north winds this
afternoon will diminish with sunset this evening.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 407 AM CST Sat Jan 12 2019/ 

DISCUSSION...
Upper level system which brought our rain last night has made its 
way several hundred miles east as ridging pinches off a high across 
the northern Rockies whilst an upper level trough cuts off into AZ 
by Sunday morning.  What's left of this system, as it is absorbed 
into the southern branch of the jet, will not amount to much for our 
sensible weather.  Out west, the next system off the Pacific Coast 
is edged southward thus remaining offshore through Tuesday morning 
before phasing with a number of impulses.  Inter-model synoptic 
scale flow shows increasing variance thereafter but the general 
trend is for large scale troughiness across the central CONUS 
indicating cold air next weekend.

Dry conditions look to prevail over the next week.  In terms of 
winds.  The gusty northwesterlies early this morning will slowly 
diminish as surface high settles into the region this evening. 
Winds will pick up a bit again on Tuesday as lee troughing returns
to the region though a bit of a back door cold front moves in 
Wednesday morning primarily affecting our northeastern zones. 
Depending on how things pan out, Friday could be a bit of a windy 
day with fire weather concerns and/or virga bombs but that all 
should change by Saturday morning when a much colder airmass will 
make its presence known. 

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

07