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158 
FXUS64 KEWX 130905
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
305 AM CST Sun Jan 13 2019

.SHORT TERM (Today through Monday)...
Surface high pressure continues to settle into the region overnight
and wind speeds have dropped off a bit as a result. There are some
low clouds being observed to the northeast of our cwa and another
smaller batch across the western CWA. Temperatures are in the middle
30s to lower 40s and these should drop a couple of more degrees
through the overnight period. For today, skies will remain partly
cloudy with temperatures rising into the 50s across the area. Dry
weather will continue tonight and another night in the 30s to lower
40s can be expected as surface high pressure remains near the region.
The surface high will begin to shift east on Monday with southerly
flow back into the western CWA by the afternoon hours. Highs will
remain in the 50s across the area. 

&&

.LONG TERM (Monday Night through Saturday)...
Southerly flow will return to the remainder of the area by Tuesday
with temperatures remaining in the middle 50s. At the same time, a
weak shortwave trough will move across the area and bring with it a
chance of showers to the area. The ECMWF remains the wettest of the
guidance, while the GFS keeps the bulk of the precip across the
southern CWA. Will show PoPs ranging from 20-40 percent with the
highest PoPs across the southern counties. Low rain chances will
linger across the southern and eastern CWA into Wednesday as weak
low-level lift lingers across the area. Highs Wednesday will warm
from the middle 50s into the middle 60s as low-level warming
increases. 

Another chance of rain arrives Thursday as the GFS progs a
shortwave trough into the region with a decent shot of rain. However,
the ECMWF does not really pick up on this feature and will hold off
from increasing PoPs too much. The next big front will arrive this
weekend with the GFS showing the front Friday night and the ECMWF a
bit behind. Will show some low PoPs this weekend for the FROPA. This
front should be strong with a freeze likely just beyond the current
forecast cycle. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              52  38  53  39  55 /   0  -    0   0  20 
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  53  34  53  38  55 /   0   0   0   0  20 
New Braunfels Muni Airport     55  37  54  40  55 /   0   0   0  -   20 
Burnet Muni Airport            50  34  52  36  55 /   0   0   0   0  10 
Del Rio Intl Airport           57  43  56  41  56 /   0   0   0  -   20 
Georgetown Muni Airport        50  34  52  36  55 /   0  -    0   0  10 
Hondo Muni Airport             57  39  56  41  56 /   0   0   0  10  20 
San Marcos Muni Airport        53  36  53  38  55 /   0   0   0   0  20 
La Grange - Fayette Regional   53  38  53  39  56 /   0   0  -    0  20 
San Antonio Intl Airport       55  39  55  41  55 /   0   0   0  -   20 
Stinson Muni Airport           56  40  55  43  56 /   0   0   0  10  20 

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Aviation...Oaks
Short-Term/Long-Term...Hampshire