238 
FXUS61 KCLE 282333
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
733 PM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Strong Canadian high pressure builds south over the Great Lakes 
region through the middle of the week. The high will shift towards 
the Northeast region by the end of the week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
Quiet weather continues as high pressure remains overhead through 
the forecast period. Mostly sunny skies and above normal high 
temperatures in the upper 70s to lower 80s are expected each 
afternoon. Patchy fog will be possible tonight and Monday night with 
lows in the mid to upper 50s under a clear sky.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
Strong Canadian high pressure will move overhead early this week 
leading to continued dry weather. Warm on Tuesday with highs in the 
upper 70s to lower 80s before a cooler airmass enters the region. 
High temperatures return to near-normal values in the lower 70s, 
upper 60s across Northwest Pennsylvania, for Wednesday. Low 
temperatures Tuesday night in the upper 40s to lower 50s will dip 
into the mid 40s Wednesday night. Can't rule out some spots touching 
the upper 30s Wednesday night under clear skies, though frost 
potential remains low given elevated wind speeds. NBM probabilities 
for minimum temperatures below 40 degrees range between 60-70% 
across extreme eastern portions of Erie and Crawford Counties in 
Pennsylvania.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
The surface high will gradually push east towards the Northeast 
region with dry weather persisting through the end of the week.
Southerly return flow on the backside of the high will allow 
for a gradual warming trend to occur through the end of the 
week. Highs in the lower 70s Wednesday will rise into the upper 
70s to lower 80s by Saturday. Lows will settle in the low to mid
50s each night through the long term.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z Monday THROUGH Friday/...
VFR is observed areawide and is largely expected to continue
through the TAF period. Patchy fog will be possible across parts of
the area late tonight into early tomorrow morning which may 
produce non-VFR visibility, though confidence is low at this 
point. Best chance for fog will be at KYNG where there is a 
20-30% of IFR visibility; this is lower than previous model runs.

Light and variable winds are expected tonight. A light lake 
breeze may bring north winds around 6-9 knots Monday afternoon.

Outlook...Patchy fog possible early Monday morning and Tuesday
morning. VFR otherwise.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds will tend to be light and variable, though tending to 
favor a light onshore flow today and tomorrow with a lake
breeze, and light offshore flow tonight. High pressure 
gradually moves from northern Ontario on Tuesday to southern 
Quebec and New England towards the end of the week. This will 
result in northeast flow developing on Tuesday, strengthening to
20-25 knots Tuesday night through Wednesday night. A small 
craft advisory is very likely for the entire southern nearshore 
of Lake Erie during this time frame.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...13
NEAR TERM...13
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM...13
AVIATION...Saunders
MARINE...Saunders