AFOS product FWSTWC
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Product Timestamp: 2025-08-05 12:13 UTC

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FNUS75 KTWC 051213
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for Sawbuck...San Carlos Agency
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
513 AM MST Tue Aug 5 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MST on August 05. 

.DISCUSSION...Dry and hot conditions at the fire site today. Mainly
light winds this morning then some afternoon gusts from the west
this afternoon due to strong daytime heating. Hot conditions 
continue Wednesday as a low grade monsoon pattern returns with a 
30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1100. 
Gusty and erratic winds are expected near any thunderstorm activity. 


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. 
Chance of pcpn......10 percent. 
Max temperature.....92-95 degrees. 
Min humidity........14-17 percent. 
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds up to 5 mph shifting to the 
                    west 6 to 11 mph with gusts around 15 mph 
                    in the late morning and afternoon. 
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 13200 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....North 5 to 7 knots shifting to the west 8 to 11 
                    knots early in the morning. 

TIME (MST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM      
Sky (%).........21        15        25        31        
Weather cov.....                                        
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE      
Tstm cov........                                        
CWR.............0         0         10        10        
Temp............63        84        92        91        
RH..............38        22        16        15        
20 FT wind......NE 3G8    NW 3G8    W 6G8     W 7G10    
Mix hgt (ft)....700       5400      12300     12600     
Transport wind..N 7       W 10      W 9       W 8       

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. 
Chance of pcpn......10 percent. 
Min temperature.....64-67 degrees. 
Max humidity........38-41 percent. 
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph shifting to the 
                    southwest around 5 mph early in the evening, then 
                    shifting to the northeast 5 to 7 mph in the 
                    late evening and overnight. 
Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....West around 9 knots shifting to the northeast 8 
                    to 9 knots after 3 am. 

TIME (MST)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM      
Sky (%).........35        28        25        33        
Weather cov.....                                        
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE      
Tstm cov........                                        
CWR.............10        0         0         0         
Temp............85        75        70        67        
RH..............20        27        34        37        
20 FT wind......W 8G11    N 3G4     N 3G10    NE 3G8    
Mix hgt (ft)....8000      700       700       700       
Transport wind..W 9       N 12      N 11      NE 9      

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Chance of showers and 
                    thunderstorms late in the morning and in the 
                    afternoon. 
Chance of pcpn......30 percent late in the morning and in the afternoon. 
Max temperature.....94-97 degrees. 
Min humidity........12-15 percent. 
20-foot winds.......East to northeast around 5 mph in the morning, 
                    becoming south to southwest in the late morning 
                    and afternoon at 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds 
                    expected near thunderstorms. 
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL increasing to 13100 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 8 knots shifting to the south 5 
                    to 7 knots in the late morning and afternoon. 

TIME (MST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM      
Sky (%).........53        19        54        54        
Weather cov.....                    CHANCE    CHANCE    
Weather type....NONE      NONE      RNSHWR    RNSHWR    
Tstm cov........                    CHANCE    CHANCE    
CWR.............0         0         30        30        
Temp............66        86        94        93        
RH..............39        19        13        13        
20 FT wind......NE 3G10   E 2G7     S 4G8     SW 5G10   
Mix hgt (ft)....700       8000      12900     12400     
Transport wind..NE 8      S 7       S 6       S 6       

$$
Forecaster...LADER
Requested by...Charles Patterson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2519029.5/TWC
.DELDT 08/05/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azphc@firenet.gov

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