AFOS product FWSTWC
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Product Timestamp: 2025-05-28 22:26 UTC

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FNUS75 KTWC 282226
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for Jacobson...Coronado National Forest
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
326 PM MST Wed May 28 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MST on May 29. 

.DISCUSSION...

Very dry conditions at the fire site through Thursday, with increasing
moisture Friday through the weekend. Winds through Friday morning
will generally be terrain driven during the overnight and morning hours, 
primarily downslope/downvalley through sunrise, then becoming
upslope/upvalley. Winds become easterly Friday afternoon while ushering
in modest moisture adequate for cloud-buildups and an isolated potential
for dry lightning. Moisture remains in place through the weekend with 
increasing chances for showers and thunderstorms, with the highest probabilities
for wetting rain coming Sunday. 

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. 
Chance of pcpn......0 percent. 
Max temperature.....77-80 degrees. 
Min humidity........6-9 percent. 
20-foot winds.......Southwest (downslope) 5 to 10 mph early in the
					morning becoming east to northeast (upslope)
					after 0800, then south to southwest 10 to 15 mph 
					with gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 12200 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 12 knots. 

TIME (MST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM      
Sky (%).........82        48        48        65        
Weather cov.....                                        
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE      
Tstm cov........                                        
CWR.............0         0         0         0         
Temp............61        71        75        78        
RH..............17        12        10        8         
20 FT wind......SW 8      E 6       E 6G13    SW 9G18   
Mix hgt (ft)....500       3700      9600      12100     
Transport wind..W 9       SW 9      SW 11     SW 13      

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent. 
Min temperature.....58-61 degrees. 
Max humidity........24-27 percent. 
20-foot winds.......Southwest 8 to 12 mph in the evening, becoming
					5 to 10 mph late.
Mixing height.......7800 ft AGL decreasing to 100 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....West to southwest 6 to 10 knots.

TIME (MST)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM      
Sky (%).........51        67        47        39        
Weather cov.....                                        
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE      
Tstm cov........                                        
CWR.............0         0         0         0         
Temp............75        66        63        60        
RH..............8         13        15        19        
20 FT wind......SW 8G14   SW 8G14   SW 7      SW 7  
Mix hgt (ft)....7800      100       100       BLW100    
Transport wind..SW 9      SW 10     SW 10     W 10     

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny in the morning becoming partly cloudy. 
					Cloud-build ups in the afternoon and early evening
					with a slight chance of dry lightning.
Chance of pcpn......15 percent. 
Max temperature.....79-82 degrees. 
Min humidity........13-16 percent. 
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 10 mph through the early morning,
					becoming east 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 20 mph
					in the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic 
					winds expected near thunderstorms late in the morning. 
Mixing height.......Increasing to 13700 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....East 10 to 14 knots. 

TIME (MST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM      
Sky (%).........34        41        47        40        
Weather cov.....                                        
Weather type....NONE      NONE                          
Tstm cov........                    S CHC     S CHC     
CWR.............0         0         20        20        
Temp............61        68        76        79        
RH..............22        24        18        14        
20 FT wind......SW 8      E 10G16   E 10G16   E 12G18   
Mix hgt (ft)....600       3300      9000      13600     
Transport wind..NE 12     E 11      E 10      SE 10     

$$
Forecaster...EDWARDS
Requested by...Chris Stetson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2514808.1/TWC
.DELDT 05/28/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL christopher.stetson@usda.gov

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