468 
FXUS64 KSJT 181932
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
232 PM CDT Wed Oct 18 2023

...New LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 244 AM CDT Wed Oct 18 2023

Sunny skies with gusty winds will be on tap for today. At the 
surface, west central Texas will be right between high pressure over 
the Gulf and and cold front approaching from the northwest. The 
resulting southerly flow should cause winds to rapidly increase 
later this morning, with gusts over 20 MPH possible. Given the 
warmer airmass and plenty of mechanical mixing, high temperatures 
should reach the mid to upper 80s this afternoon. The frontal 
boundary should reach the Big Country by late afternoon and push 
through west central Texas through early tomorrow morning. Winds 
should gradually turn out of the west and northwest tonight, but 
will decrease to less than 10 MPH.  Under yet another night of clear 
skies, low temperatures should fall to the low to mid 50s, with some 
low-lying areas dipping into the 40s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 231 PM CDT Wed Oct 18 2023

Unseasonably hot temperatures are forecast across the area Friday 
through Sunday, with highs running around 10 degrees above normal. 
Highs will generally be in the upper 80s to lower 90s, with 
overnight lows in the 60s. 

Tropical Storm Norma is forecast to become a hurricane late today, 
then track north, eventually reaching the coastal water just south 
of Baja California Sunday into Monday. There continue to be 
differences in the eventual track of the remnants of this system 
early next week, as the next upper level trough approaches West 
Central Texas from the west. The 12Z GFS is a bit weaker with the 
system, compared to previous runs. With all this said, as the 
aforementioned upper level trough approaches early next week, some 
of the upper level moisture associated with the remnants of Norma 
should get pulled into West Texas. This in combination with the 
approaching trough should result in an increasing chance of showers 
and thunderstorms, especially late Monday into Wednesday. For 
now, have kept PoPs in the chance category, but rain chances may 
need to be increased further on future shifts. The expected 
increased cloud cover and rain chances should result in 
temperatures closer to seasonal normals, with highs generally in 
the upper 70s to mid 80s. 

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1150 AM CDT Wed Oct 18 2023

VFR conditions will persist through the next 24 hours. Breezy
southerly winds ranging from 10 to 15 kts, and some gusts up to 25
kts are expected to diminish by this afternoon, becoming more
light and variable and switching to northerly flow by Thursday 
morning. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     57  85  58  91 /   0   0   0   0 
San Angelo  53  87  53  91 /   0   0   0   0 
Junction    53  86  53  91 /   0   0   0   0 
Brownwood   53  85  53  91 /   0   0   0   0 
Sweetwater  57  85  58  91 /   0   0   0   0 
Ozona       53  85  55  89 /   0   0   0   0 
Brady       54  85  56  91 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SK
LONG TERM....Daniels
AVIATION...TP