National Weather Service Text Product
AFOS product FWFILM
Dates interpreted at 00:00 UTCDisplaying AFOS PIL: FWFILM
Product Timestamp: 2023-10-01 06:48 UTC
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300
FNUS52 KILM 010648
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
248 AM EDT Sun Oct 1 2023
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will prevail through early next week keeping the
area mostly dry with temperatures near normal. Moisture limited
cold front will move across late week. No appreciable rain chances
in the forecast through end of upcoming week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-012300-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
248 AM EDT Sun Oct 1 2023
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 79 57 83
Min/Max RH (%) 50 96 40
Wind20ft/Early (mph) N 6 N 4 N 6 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph) N 7 N 4 NE 9 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 65/0900 1800 66/0900
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 5 5
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 5000
Transport Wind (mph) N 15 NE 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 69000 85000
ADI Early 46 Gen Good 28 Fair 65 Good
ADI Late 74 Good 5 Very Poor 72 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 55 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-012300-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
248 AM EDT Sun Oct 1 2023
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 79 56 82
Min/Max RH (%) 51 98 41
Wind20ft/Early (mph) N 5 Lgt/Var N 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 6 Lgt/Var NE 9
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 64/0900 1800 70/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 5 5
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 4900
Transport Wind (mph) N 15 NE 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 70500 88200
ADI Early 53 Gen Good 40 Fair 64 Good
ADI Late 71 Good 5 Very Poor 75 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 5 7
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-012300-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
248 AM EDT Sun Oct 1 2023
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 79 57 81
Min/Max RH (%) 51 97 43
Wind20ft/Early (mph) N 6 Lgt/Var N 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 7 Lgt/Var NE 9
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 65/0900 1800 69/1000
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 5 5
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4800 5100
Transport Wind (mph) NE 14 NE 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 67200 81600
ADI Early 55 Gen Good 41 Gen Good 62 Good
ADI Late 75 Good 5 Very Poor 68 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-012300-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
248 AM EDT Sun Oct 1 2023
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 81 56 82
Min/Max RH (%) 50 99 42
Wind20ft/Early (mph) N 5 Lgt/Var N 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 7 Lgt/Var NE 9
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 64/0900 1800 69/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 5 5
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5100 4900
Transport Wind (mph) NE 15 NE 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 76500 83300
ADI Early 59 Gen Good 47 Gen Good 59 Gen Good
ADI Late 82 Good 5 Very Poor 70 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 5 8
Max LVORI Late 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...VAO