723 
FXUS63 KICT 061135
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
535 AM CST Sun Nov 6 2022

...Updated Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday night)
Issued at 400 AM CST Sun Nov 6 2022

Currently, there is an active weather pattern across the northern 
CONUS / southern Canada where three separate lows are noted. 
Further south, much more zonal midlevel flow has taken shape 
across the region. Locally at the surface, a weak cold front is 
approaching the area, and will drift southeastward throughout the 
day. Quiet weather expected today and tomorrow as ridging builds 
over the region. Southeasterly flow tomorrow will turn more 
southerly/southwesterly tomorrow night into Tuesday as lee 
troughing gets underway as a deep pacific northwest trough begins 
to dive south. Strong warm moist advection is expected late
tomorrow through Tuesday morning which will result in elevated 
showers and storms across the area. By Tuesday afternoon, gusty 
winds can be expected, as a the pressure gradient over the area 
continues to tighten.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 400 AM CST Sun Nov 6 2022

Strong winds will continue into Wednesday and Thursday as the system 
works northeastward toward the northern Plains. Wind related 
headlines may be needed Wednesday and Thursday. Thursday evening the 
cold front associated with the cyclone will move across the region 
bringing chances for showers and storms Thursday afternoon and 
evening. As temperatures plummet late Thursday night into Friday,
rain showers may mix with snow across portions of east central 
and southeast KS.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Monday morning)
Issued at 530 AM CST Sun Nov 6 2022

VFR conditions are expected the next 24 hours. Breezy/gusty
northeast winds will increase from the north late this morning
through early afternoon, and persist through late afternoon or
early evening, as a weak cool front moves south through Mid-
America.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 400 AM CST Sun Nov 6 2022

Very high grassland fire danger expected Wednesday and Thursday
due to above normal temperatures and strong winds.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    63  42  64  56 /   0   0  10  50 
Hutchinson      62  38  63  53 /   0   0  10  40 
Newton          61  40  62  54 /   0   0  10  40 
ElDorado        64  43  65  55 /   0   0  10  50 
Winfield-KWLD   65  44  66  57 /   0   0  10  50 
Russell         61  35  62  51 /   0   0   0  30 
Great Bend      61  35  62  51 /   0   0   0  30 
Salina          61  36  62  52 /   0   0   0  40 
McPherson       61  37  62  52 /   0   0  10  40 
Coffeyville     66  46  67  58 /   0   0  10  30 
Chanute         65  44  66  57 /   0   0  10  40 
Iola            64  43  65  55 /   0   0  10  30 
Parsons-KPPF    66  46  67  58 /   0   0  10  30 

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None. 

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KMB
LONG TERM...KMB
AVIATION...ADK
FIRE WEATHER...KMB