National Weather Service Raw Text Product
Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDTSA Received: 2022-01-24 16:19 UTC
Previous in Time Latest Product Next in Time
View All KTSA Products for 24 Jan 2022 View All AFD Products for 24 Jan 2022 View As Image Download As Text
705 FXUS64 KTSA 241619 AFDTSA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tulsa OK 1019 AM CST Mon Jan 24 2022 ...New SHORT TERM... .SHORT TERM... (The rest of today ) Issued at 1019 AM CST Mon Jan 24 2022 Plentiful sunshine and westerly flow ahead of an approaching cold front will allow for temperatures to climb well above normal by this afternoon. Generally highs are expected to be in the low to mid 60s across the area. The cold front will enter northeast Oklahoma this afternoon and push southeastward across the area into tonight. The stronger push of cold air and gustier winds will lag the initial wind shift by a few hours. An upper low currently situated across Central Texas will track east throughout the day, and any precipitation associated with the system is expected to stay south of the area. Current forecast is on track and just a few minor adjustments were made to hourly grids to incorporate the current trends. Bowlan && .LONG TERM... (Tonight through Sunday) Issued at 241 AM CST Mon Jan 24 2022 The aforementioned cold front will slide south through the area Monday night, with colder weather settling in for Tuesday and Wednesday. 00Z model runs are in reasonable agreement with the timing/strength of the next wave that is expected to move into the TX panhandle late Wednesday and east across srn OK/nrn TX Wednesday night. Deterministic solutions of the NAM/ECMWF/GFS and GEM all streak light precipitation across parts of eastern OK (and possibly western AR) during this time-frame, and thermal profiles/soundings are supportive of snow or snow/sleet mix. For now, have raised NBM PoPs just a bit for Wednesday night and will show some very light accumulations generally along and south of I-40. We'll closely follow the model trends over the next couple of days and expect adjustments as necessary. Temperatures will moderate a touch by Thursday, with slightly cooler weather for Friday as another upper wave and associated cold front swings through. Mid-level heights will rise in the wake of this trof, with above average temperatures returning for the weekend. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 424 AM CST Mon Jan 24 2022 VFR conditions will prevail through the period, with only an increase in mid and high cloud cover expected. Winds will shift from a southwesterly direction in most spots this morning to a more westerly direction during the day with the approach of a cold front and finally to a northerly direction this evening and overnight as the front passes. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TUL 63 25 37 16 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 62 30 46 21 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 64 31 45 22 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 61 22 35 15 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 60 23 39 14 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 58 23 36 16 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 61 27 40 20 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 57 20 33 14 / 0 0 0 0 F10 64 27 41 20 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 61 35 52 26 / 0 0 0 0 && .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. AR...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...04 LONG TERM....18 AVIATION...22