National Weather Service Text Product
AFOS product FWFILM
Dates interpreted at 00:00 UTCDisplaying AFOS PIL: FWFILM
Product Timestamp: 2020-04-19 19:17 UTC
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306
FNUS52 KILM 191917
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
317 PM EDT Sun Apr 19 2020
.DISCUSSION...
A powerful storm system will impact the area late today through
Monday morning, as strong to severe thunderstorms track across the
area. This system will clear the area late Monday with a drying
trend to follow, and cooler temperatures into mid week. A cold front
will cross the coast late Thursday into early Friday.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-201130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
317 PM EDT Sun Apr 19 2020
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud amount Mcldy Mcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chc (%) 80 80 0 20
Precip type Tstms Tstms None Showers
LAL 3 3 1 1
Min/Max Temp 63 71 46 78
Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 7 SW 9 G24 NW 4 SW 3
Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 7 NW 12 G25 LGT/VAR SW 9
Precip Amount 0.69 0.89 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 6 6 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 5 PM 6 PM
Inversion 1900 67/1000 2000 56/0900
Dispersion Good Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%) 97 67 100 40
DSI 1 3
Haines Index 3 3 4 4
Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 3170 7370
Transport wnd (mph) N 26 SW 23
Ventilation rate 83850 169510
ADI Early 29 Fair 43 Gen good 67 Good 66 Good
ADI Late 14 Gen poor 74 Good 3 Very poor 108 Very good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5 9
Max LVORI Late 6 4 9 1
Min VSBY Early 6 4 7
Min VSBY Late 4 4 7
Turner Stability D D F C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
73 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 31 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance
of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Warmer. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-201130-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
317 PM EDT Sun Apr 19 2020
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud amount Mcldy Mcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chc (%) 80 90 0 20
Precip type Tstms Tstms None Showers
LAL 3 3 1 1
Min/Max Temp 61 69 47 78
Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 6 SW 7 NW 3 SW 3
Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 6 NW 11 G22 LGT/VAR SW 8
Precip Amount 0.69 1.05 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 7 6 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 5 PM 6 PM
Inversion 2000 64/0800 1900 56/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%) 99 65 100 38
DSI 1 4
Haines Index 4 3 4 4
Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 3490 7790
Transport wnd (mph) N 23 W 28
Ventilation rate 80270 215000
ADI Early 28 Fair 39 Fair 62 Good 77 Good
ADI Late 11 poor 78 Good 4 Very poor 129 Very good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 6 9
Max LVORI Late 7 4 9 1
Min VSBY Early 6 4 7
Min VSBY Late 4 5 7
Turner Stability D C F C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
68 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 30 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Warmer.
Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 92 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-201130-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
317 PM EDT Sun Apr 19 2020
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud amount Mcldy Mcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chc (%) 90 80 0 0
Precip type Tstms Tstms None None
LAL 3 3 1 1
Min/Max Temp 64 73 50 79
Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 6 SW 10 G25 NW 3 SW 3
Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 7 G20 NW 12 G25 LGT/VAR SW 8
Precip Amount 0.88 0.74 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 8 5
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 4 PM
Inversion 1900 68/0900 2000 58/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%) 98 62 100 37
DSI 1 3
Haines Index 3 3 4 4
Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 3850 7670
Transport wnd (mph) N 22 W 21
Ventilation rate 84120 158770
ADI Early 22 Fair 43 Gen good 66 Good 66 Good
ADI Late 16 Gen poor 76 Good 3 Very poor 118 Very good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 5 9
Max LVORI Late 6 4 9 1
Min VSBY Early 5 4 7
Min VSBY Late 4 7 7
Turner Stability D D F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
71 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Warmer. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 87 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 88 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-201130-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
317 PM EDT Sun Apr 19 2020
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud amount Mcldy Mcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chc (%) 90 80 0 0
Precip type Tstms Tstms None None
LAL 3 3 1 1
Min/Max Temp 62 71 49 79
Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 5 SW 9 LGT/VAR SW 3
Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 6 NW 11 G22 LGT/VAR SW 8
Precip Amount 0.89 0.89 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 8 5
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 4 PM
Inversion 2100 64/0600 1900 57/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%) 98 60 100 36
DSI 1 4
Haines Index 4 3 4 4
Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 4080 7210
Transport wnd (mph) NW 18 W 28
Ventilation rate 75070 199000
ADI Early 25 Fair 41 Gen good 58 Gen good 77 Good
ADI Late 15 Gen poor 72 Good 4 Very poor 130 Very good
Max LVORI Early 6 6 5 9
Max LVORI Late 7 3 9 1
Min VSBY Early 5 4 7
Min VSBY Late 4 7 7
Turner Stability D C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
72 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 32 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Warmer.
Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 80. Minimum RH 48 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
90 percent. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-201130-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
317 PM EDT Sun Apr 19 2020
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud amount Mcldy Mcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chc (%) 90 90 0 0
Precip type Tstms Tstms None None
LAL 3 3 1 1
Min/Max Temp 58 68 48 78
Wnd20ft/early(mph) SW 5 E 7 LGT/VAR SW 4
Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 5 N 10 G22 LGT/VAR SW 9
Precip Amount 0.80 1.17 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 8 6
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 4 PM
Inversion 2200 61/0600 1900 56/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%) 100 60 100 35
DSI 1 3
Haines Index 3 3 4 4
Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 4070 8460
Transport wnd (mph) N 17 W 31
Ventilation rate 70210 262680
ADI Early 28 Fair 33 Fair 48 Gen good 77 Good
ADI Late 8 poor 66 Good 5 Very poor 151 Very good
Max LVORI Early 5 7 6 9
Max LVORI Late 7 3 9 1
Min VSBY Early 6 4 7
Min VSBY Late 4 7 7
Turner Stability D D F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
69 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 31 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 86 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Warmer.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of
precipitation 80 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 80. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-201130-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
317 PM EDT Sun Apr 19 2020
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud amount Mcldy Mcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chc (%) 90 90 0 20
Precip type Tstms Tstms None Showers
LAL 3 3 1 1
Min/Max Temp 59 66 48 78
Wnd20ft/early(mph) SW 5 NW 7 W 3 SW 5
Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 5 N 11 G23 LGT/VAR SW 10 G20
Precip Amount 0.70 1.26 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 7 6 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 5 PM 6 PM
Inversion 0100 61/0600 1900 56/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%) 98 63 100 36
DSI 1 4
Haines Index 4 3 4 4
Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 3710 8530
Transport wnd (mph) N 20 W 31
Ventilation rate 72530 264860
ADI Early 30 Fair 33 Fair 55 Gen good 78 Good
ADI Late 8 poor 70 Good 5 Very poor 112 Very good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 6 9
Max LVORI Late 6 3 9 1
Min VSBY Early 6 4 7
Min VSBY Late 4 5 7
Turner Stability D D F C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
67 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 30 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Warmer.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of
precipitation 80 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$