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Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDSJT Received: 2018-06-18 19:51 UTC
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862 FXUS64 KSJT 181951 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 251 PM CDT Mon Jun 18 2018 .SHORT TERM... (Tonight and Tuesday) Showers and storms developing across West Central Texas this with the main axis across the western Big Country down into the western Concho Valley. This primarily from the old mid level moisture axis left over from the remnants of Bud that have slowly drifted east over the last several days. Main influence from the disturbance in the Gulf Of Mexico approaching the Texas coast will likely lead to more scattered showers and storms developing farther south into the Edwards Plateau and Hill Country later this afternoon. Most of the brunt of the system in the Gulf will be across Central and South Texas, leaving West Central Texas mainly on the western drier portion of the system. Still appears like some scattered convection will be possible across mainly the area along and southeast of a Brady to Menard line, with more isolated activity to the west. With more abundant cloud cover in place, temperatures will at least be a few degrees cooler on Tuesday with highs in the upper 80s and lower 90s. .LONG TERM... (Tuesday night through Monday) Isolated showers and thunderstorms will continue Tuesday night through Thursday night. The best chances will be across the eastern half of West Central Texas, although Wednesday night, rain chances are higher across the Big Country as an upper trough moves across the Central Plains. With a tropical-like atmosphere in place and weak steering winds, localized heavy rainfall with street flooding will continue to be the main hazards. Rain chances cut off by Thursday evening, as high pressure aloft builds in from the west. Highs around 100 likely Friday into Sunday across the Big Country and Concho Valley as 850 MB temperatures warm into the 28 to 31 Celsius range. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 70 88 70 92 / 20 30 5 20 San Angelo 71 89 70 93 / 20 30 10 20 Junction 71 87 71 89 / 30 40 30 20 Brownwood 71 85 71 89 / 20 40 20 20 Sweetwater 70 89 71 91 / 20 20 5 10 Ozona 70 90 69 93 / 20 20 10 5 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ 07/04