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529 
FXUS64 KSJT 242332
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
532 PM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

.AVIATION...
/0Z TAFS/

Cold front has pushed through all TAF locations early this
evening. Seeing drier air continuing to filter in at low levels,
and expecting most of the area to stay VFR for the next 24 hours.
Will be watching the southeast for the possibility of patchy 
light fog early in the morning as more low level moisture remains 
over JCT and SOA areas. For now, have kept all TAFS VFR with
northeast winds through the period.

08


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 248 PM CST Sat Feb 24 2018/ 

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Sunday)

Warm and quiet weather ahead...

The Pacific front will continue to move east across the region 
through the evening. Behind the front, dry air will filter into the 
region. The extent of this dry air will remain across the central 
and western portions of the area, allowing for skies to become clear 
this evening. The eastern half of the region won't see the dry air 
and overnight low level moisture will remain in place. Patchy areas 
of fog are possible along and east of a Haskell to San Saba line. 
Areas that see the clear skies and light winds will see overnight 
temperatures drop into the low to mid 30s. Areas to the east will
see overnight temperatures in the low 40s.

Expect plenty of sunshine tomorrow with breezy conditions. There is 
the concern for elevated fire weather conditions during the 
afternoon on Sunday. West wind will increase to around 15 to 20 mph 
with higher gusts. Temperatures will be above normal with relative 
humidity values dropping into the upper teens to lower 20s. We will 
monitor the forecast and issue any fire weather advisories if 
needed. Highs tomorrow will be in the upper 60s to low 70s.

LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Friday)

The next upper level trough will dig south along the West Coast
early next week, with the medium range models developing a closed 
upper low over southern California by Tuesday. The GFS and ECMWF
are in decent agreement and show the upper system moving rapidly 
east across the Southern Rockies and West Texas by Wednesday. 
Should see some scattered showers and thunderstorms ahead of this 
system by Tuesday afternoon, then again Tuesday night and 
Wednesday primarily over the eastern half of the forecast area. 
Looks like another windy day on Wednesday with the passage of the 
upper trough axis, with gusty southwest winds developing. A weak 
cold front will move across the area Wednesday night, with 
precipitation ending across southeast counties. Temperatures 
will above normal Monday through Wednesday, with highs mainly in 
the lower 70s and overnight lows in the 40s and 50s. 

Dry and pleasant weather is expected late next week into the 
start of next weekend, with temperatures near to slightly above 
normal for this time of year.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 	 38  68  33  71 /   0   0   0   0 
San Angelo 	 36  70  33  74 /   0   0   0   0 
Junction 	 42  70  35  73 /   5   5   5   5 
Brownwood 	 40  67  35  72 /   0   5   0   0 
Sweetwater 	 35  69  32  71 /   0   0   0   0 
Ozona      	 33  71  33  72 /   5   0   0   0 

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

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