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291 
FXUS64 KSJT 241626 AAA
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1026 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

.UPDATE...

Forecast was updated to remove dense fog and POPs.
 
&&

.DISCUSSION...

Fog has dissipated across eastern zones and the Dense Fog Advisory
was allowed to expire. Also removed POPs for the rest of the day 
as drier air filters in from the west. The forecast was updated 
to reflect these changes.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 501 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018/ 

AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

IFR/LIFR ceilings and visibilities are occurring at all sites
early this morning. A Pacific cold front will quickly move through
the area this morning, with gradually clearing skies and
visibilities behind it. A few showers and thunderstorms will be
possible along the front, mainly affecting KJCT and KBBD.
Otherwise, expect a return to VFR conditions this afternoon at all
sites. West winds will increase to 12 to 20 knots at all sites by
late morning, then decrease around 00z. 

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 326 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018/ 

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

.Becoming Dry and Windy...

As an upper trough finally moves over and east of Texas today, 
rain chances will end, and breezy to windy conditions will 
dominate this afternoon. Some areas this morning, across our 
eastern counties, are under pence fog; thus, we have issued a 
Dense Fog Advisory, for a few of our eastern counties this 
morning. Although rain chances continue this morning, a Pacific 
front will push, from west to east, across West Central Texas this
afternoon, and the rain potential moves east of our area. Some of
our western counties will have winds this afternoon, from the 
west, in the 20 to 30 mph range, with possible gusts in the 35 to 
45 mph range. Also, some of our northwestern counties may have 
patches of blowing dust this afternoon, as dust blows into those 
counties from the Low Rolling Plains and Permian Basin. By late 
this afternoon, winds will begin to decrease. With rain chances 
out of the forecast for tonight, expect clear skies, winds 
becoming light, and lows mainly in the 30s. 

LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)

.Mainly Dry and Warm...

The long term forecast remains essentially unchanged, with
temperatures above seasonal normals and some rain potential for
mid week. Models still indicate another upper system may bring
rain to West Central Texas again mid week. Given some persistent 
confidence concerns, continuing slight chance to chance PoPs looks
to be the best approach. Models bring another weak cold front
across West Central Texas Thursday; however, temperatures impacts
will likely be little if any. Thus, afternoon highs for this next
work week above seasonal normals look likely.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 	 69  33  69  33 /  40   0   0   0 
San Angelo 	 71  34  71  32 /  20   0   0   0 
Junction 	 72  40  71  34 /  30   5   5   5 
Brownwood 	 71  38  68  33 /  60   0   5   0 
Sweetwater 	 69  33  70  32 /  20   0   0   0 
Ozona      	 69  37  72  35 /  10   5   0   0 

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

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