AFOS product FWSDTX
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Displaying AFOS PIL: FWSDTX
Product Timestamp: 2017-04-25 12:16 UTC

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FNUS73 KDTX 251216
FWSDTX

Spot Forecast for Bird Hills Controlled Burn...City of ann Arbor , NAP
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
816 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 25. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Moisture will be on the increase today resulting in
mostly cloudy skies. Afternoon minimum RH values are expected to be
around 50 percent. Moderate southeast winds through the day. Turning
much warmer on Wednesday as winds turn southerly. Minimum RH values
on Wednesday will again be around 50 percent.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) becoming partly sunny 
                    (50-60 percent). 
Max temperature.....66-71. 
Min humidity........55 percent. 
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph. 
Mixing height.......500-2200 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 15 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (0-30000 knot-ft). 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%)..........94  94  94  94  85  66  57  53  49  46  
Weather cov......                                        
Weather type.....                                        
Tstm cov.........                                        
Temp.............51  52  54  57  61  64  66  68  69  69  
RH...............79  78  75  68  63  60  57  56  55  55  
Eye lvl wnd dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  
Eye lvl wnd spd..5   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   
Eye lvl wnd gst..10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  
Mix hgt (kft)....0.7 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.1 
Transp wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  
Transp wind spd..9   10  14  15  15  14  14  14  13  14  
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   
VRate kt-ft/1000.10  10  10  20  20  20  20  30  30  20  

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). 
Min temperature.....49-54. 
Max humidity........91 percent. 
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph. 
Mixing height.......400-1800 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 14 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (0-20000 knot-ft). 
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth. 

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   
Sky (%)..........48     53     60     64     67     68     
Weather cov......                                          
Weather type.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   
Tstm cov.........                                          
Temp.............69     66     61     58     56     54     
RH...............56     61     70     79     82     84     
Eye level wind...SE 7   SE 6   SE 5   SE 5   SE 5   SE 5   
Eye lvl wnd gst..15     15     10     10     10     10     
Mix hgt (ft).....1800   1000   600    500    500    400    
Transport wind...SE 14  SE 14  SE 10  SE 7   SE 6   SE 6   
Haines index....3      3      3      3      4      4      
VRate kt-ft/1000.20     10     10     0      0      0      

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). 
Max temperature.....75-80. 
Min humidity........49 percent. 
Eye level winds.....South winds 9 to 14 mph. 
Mixing height.......400-1600 ft AGL increasing to 4600-4700 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....South 6 to 15 mph increasing to 29 to 31 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to excellent (0-130000 knot-ft). 
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large 
                    plume dominated fire growth. 

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM      
Sky (%)..........68        61        45        46        
Weather cov......                                        
Weather type.....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE      
Tstm cov.........                                        
Temp.............52        57        71        78        
RH...............90        84        61        51        
Eye level wind...SE 5G10   SE 6G10   SE 7G20   S 8G25    
Mix hgt (ft).....400       400       1600      4200      
Transport wind...SE 6      SE 8      S 20      S 31      
Haines index....4         3         4         3         
VRate kt-ft/1000.0         0         30        110       

$$
Forecaster...Gurney
Requested by...Dave Borneman
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1707724.0/DTX
.EMAIL nap@a2gov.org