927 
FNUS74 KMOB 151232
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR JACKSON GUARD...EGLIN AF BASE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
732 AM CDT THU MAY 15 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 15. 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...FOLLOWING A FRONTAL PASSAGE...A COOLER...DRIER AIRMASS 
WILL SHIFT EAST OVER THE AREA. GENERAL NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL
TRANSITION TO WESTERLY INTO THE WEEKEND. A DEEPENING MIXING LAYER DUE TO
WARMING TEMPS WILL ALLOW DAYTIME DISPERSIONS TO RISE ABOVE 75 FRIDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG NOT EXPECTED THE NEXT FEW DAYS. 


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY 
                    (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN 
                    THE MORNING. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. 
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. 
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 
                    AROUND 26 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 17 MPH IN THE 
                    AFTERNOON. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL 
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2500 FT 
                    AGL. 
MIXING WINDS........NORTH-NORTHWEST 20 TO 23 MPH DECREASING TO 17 TO 
                    18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
DISPERSION INDEX....16 INCREASING TO 43. 
LVORI...............5 DECREASING TO 1. 
STABILITY CLASS.....D BECOMING C LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. 

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   
SKY (%)...........66     27     27     27     
WEATHER COV.......                            
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   
TEMP..............67     72     74     73     
RH................54     43     39     39     
20 FT WIND DIR....NNW    NNW    NNW    NNW    
20 FT WIND SPD....11     12     12     12     
20 FT WIND GUST...                            
MIX HGT (FT)......2500   3000   3500   2500   
TRANSP WIND DIR...NNW    NNW    NNW    NNW    
TRANSP WIND SPD...20     17     17     18     
DISPERSION........43     43     46     40     
LVORI.............1      1      1      1      
STABILITY CLASS...D      D      D      C      
CWR...............10     10     10     10     

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48. 
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT. 
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 16 MPH BECOMING 
                    NORTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100 FT AGL. 
MIXING WINDS........NORTH-NORTHWEST 18 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 
                    AROUND 8 MPH. 
DISPERSION INDEX....40 DECREASING TO 7. 
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 5. 
STABILITY CLASS.....C BECOMING F. 

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   
SKY (%)...........27     12     12     12     10     10     
WEATHER COV.......                                          
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   
TEMP..............72     66     59     56     53     50     
RH................42     51     65     71     76     81     
20 FT WIND DIR....NNW    NNW    NNW    NNW    NNW    NW     
20 FT WIND SPD....12     11     8      8      6      5      
20 FT WIND GUST...                                          
MIX HGT (FT)......2000   1500   500    400    300    100    
TRANSP WIND DIR...NNW    NNW    NNW    NNW    NNW    NNW    
TRANSP WIND SPD...18     20     13     13     10     8      
DISPERSION........40     21     9      9      6      4      
LVORI.............1      2      3      3      4      5      
STABILITY CLASS...C      E      F      F      F      F      
CWR...............10     0      0      0      0      0      

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79. 
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. 
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 
                    10 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6600 FT AGL EARLY IN 
                    THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 4600 FT AGL LATE 
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. 
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 7 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 18 MPH 
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. 
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 63 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON 
                    DECREASING TO 49 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. 
LVORI...............5 DECREASING TO 1. 
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING C 
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. 

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   
SKY (%)...........10     0      0      0      2      2      
WEATHER COV.......                                          
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   
TEMP..............50     56     68     75     78     78     
RH................83     68     46     38     35     37     
20 FT WIND DIR....NW     WNW    WNW    WNW    WNW    WNW    
20 FT WIND SPD....5      4      9      9      14     12     
20 FT WIND GUST...                                          
MIX HGT (FT)......100    1000   3300   3300   6600   4600   
TRANSP WIND DIR...NNW    NW     NNW    NNW    NW     NW     
TRANSP WIND SPD...8      7      14     14     18     17     
DISPERSION........4      8      45     45     63     49     
LVORI.............5      3      1      1      1      1      
STABILITY CLASS...F      B      B      B      C      C      
CWR...............0      10     10     10     10     10     

$$
FORECASTER...16
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140515.JACKS.01/MOB