AFOS product AFDLZK
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Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDLZK
Product Timestamp: 2014-03-23 05:28 UTC

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FXUS64 KLZK 230528
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1228 AM CDT SUN MAR 23 2014

.AVIATION...
OVERALL COVERAGE OF WEAK CONVECTION NOW MOVING EAST ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DIMINISH...AND SHOULD CLEAR
ALL SITES BY 12Z. ISOLATED MVFR CIGS WILL CLEAR BY 12Z AS WELL.

55

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 558 PM CDT SAT MAR 22 2014/ 

AVIATION...
SHOWERS/STORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS AN
UPPER SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH. CONVECTION SHOULD DIMINISH IN THE
MORNING...WITH CLOUDS DECREASING. LARGELY VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED...LOCALLY RESTRICTED TO MVFR IN PRECIPITATION. WINDS WILL
BE ELEVATED...WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. TAFS OUT SHORTLY. 

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 255 PM CDT SAT MAR 22 2014/ 

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT

COLD FRONT MADE IT TO THE LOUISIANA BORDER BEFORE STALLING THIS 
MORNING. THIS BOUNDARY WILL MOVE BACK TO THE NORTH SOMEWHAT THIS 
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...AS LIFT ALONG AND NORTH OF THE FRONT 
WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. 
WHILE NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN TERMS OF SEVERE WEATHER...THERE COULD BE 
SOME SMALL HAIL IN THE STRONGER STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY 
EVENING. IN GENERAL...THE RAIN CHANCES WILL BE HIGHEST ACROSS THE 
SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE STATE THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT 
HOURS...BUT AMOUNTS WILL REMAIN BELOW AN INCH.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL PUSH THE FRONT OUT OF THE STATE LATE TONIGHT...
WITH NORTHEAST WINDS BRINGING COLDER AIR INTO THE REGION. THERE
MAY BE A BRIEF RAIN/SNOW MIX ACROSS THE NORTH AROUND SUNRISE IF
ENOUGH MOISTURE REMAINS...BUT THERE WILL NOT BE ANY ACCUMULATIONS.
MUCH OF SUNDAY WILL REMAIN DRY...WITH TEMPERATURES 10 DEGREES
COOLER THAN TODAY.

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY MONDAY...BUT MOISTURE WILL NOT 
HAVE TIME TO MOVE THIS FAR NORTH BEFORE THE NEXT COLD FRONT ARRIVES. 
WHILE THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW MIX ACROSS THE FAR NORTH 
AND NORTHEAST ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER TROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...WITH THE 
CONCERNS WITH MOISTURE RETURN...HAVE KEPT POPS IN THE SLIGHT CHANCE 
CATEGORY.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP THE TREND OF COOLER TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE 
REGION...WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUING INTO THE EXTENDED.

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS TO THE NORTH OF ARKANSAS IN THE WED/THU TIME 
FRAME. LOW LEVEL FLOW INTO THIS LOW WILL BE TAKING A ROUNDABOUT 
ROUTE INTO ARKANSAS. THUS...DEWPOINTS WILL NOT INCREASE VERY 
QUICKLY. COLD FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHWARD FROM THE LOW WILL THUS HAVE 
ONLY LIMITED AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE TO WORK WITH... KEEPING CHANCES FOR 
SHRA/TSRA ONLY IN THE CHANCE CATEGORY FROM THU INTO FRI. HIGH 
PRESSURE WILL PUSH DRIER AIR INTO ARKANSAS FOR SATURDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     52  28  55  33 /  10   0  10  20 
CAMDEN AR         59  35  63  37 /  20  10  10  10 
HARRISON AR       49  27  54  31 /   0   0  10  10 
HOT SPRINGS AR    57  33  60  34 /  10  10  10  10 
LITTLE ROCK   AR  56  33  58  35 /  10   0  10  10 
MONTICELLO AR     58  34  61  37 /  20  10  10  10 
MOUNT IDA AR      55  32  61  34 /  10  10  10  10 
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  51  27  54  31 /   0   0  10  20 
NEWPORT AR        52  29  55  34 /  10   0  10  20 
PINE BLUFF AR     55  33  58  37 /  20  10  10  10 
RUSSELLVILLE AR   55  31  59  31 /  10   0  10  10 
SEARCY AR         53  30  56  34 /  10   0  10  10 
STUTTGART AR      53  32  56  35 /  20   0  10  10 
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...99