188 
FXUS64 KBMX 222007
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
307 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2013

.DISCUSSION...

ANOTHER NICE SUMMER DAY ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH WITH HIGHS THIS
AFTERNOON IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. WINDS CONTINUE TO BE FROM
THE EAST WITH DRIER AIR IN PLACE MAKING IT FEEL VERY COMFORTABLE
FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. TONIGHT SHOULD BE RATHER PLEASANT WITH
RURAL AREAS FALLING WELL INTO THE MID 60S. WE ARE LOOKING FOR AN
INCREASE IN MOISTURE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS A SURFACE
HIGH SLIPS FURTHER TO THE EAST AND WINDS BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY. I
THINK THERE WILL BE A NOTICEABLE DIFFERENCE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON
WITH MUCH MORE STICKY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE WORK WEEK.

NO RAIN IN THE CWA TODAY BUT PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL PICK UP ON
SUNDAY WITH GOOD SOUTHERLY FLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO. HIGHEST
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL REMAIN IN THE THE SOUTHEAST ON SUNDAY
ALONG WITH THE HIGHER MOISTURE CONTENT. THE REST OF THE WEEK LOOKS
SIMILAR WITH NO SIGNIFICANT LIFTING MECHANISM...THE
SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE LIMITED TO THE AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING HOURS. HIGHS NEAR 90 WITH LOWS NEAR 70.

BY THE END OF THE WORK WEEK...A SIGNIFICANT TROUGH WILL DEVELOP OVER
THE EASTERN CONUS. THIS WILL BRING DOWN A COLD FRONT WITH A BETTER
CHANCE OF MORE ORGANIZED SHOWERS AND STORMS ON SATURDAY AND
POTENTIALLY LASTING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE FRONT STALLS NEAR
THE AREA.

88

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

NO CHANGES TO TAF PACKAGE THIS AFTERNOON. VFR CONDS AND LIGHT E/SE
WINDS EXPECTED THRU THE PERIOD. OTHER THAN A WIDESPREAD DIURNAL
CU FIELD THIS AFTN...RELATIVELY DRY AIR MASS AND FLOW DO NOT APPEAR
TO BE CONDUCIVE TO ANYTHING SIGNIFICANT. REMOTE/OUTSIDE CHANCE OF
SHRA WELL TO THE SOUTH OF MGM AND TOI DO NOT WARRANT MENTION IN
THE TAF. BEYOND 24 HOUR TAF PERIOD HOWEVER...EXPECT SHRA/TSTM
CHANCES TO RETURN BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL SITES...BEST CHANCES
VCTY MGM/TOI.

JD/02


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     65  86  67  86  67 /  10  20  20  30  20 
ANNISTON    67  87  69  87  70 /  10  20  20  40  20 
BIRMINGHAM  69  89  71  87  72 /  10  20  10  30  20 
TUSCALOOSA  68  90  72  89  72 /  10  20  10  30  20 
CALERA      68  87  70  87  71 /  10  20  20  30  20 
AUBURN      66  85  70  87  71 /  10  50  20  40  20 
MONTGOMERY  70  89  71  91  72 /  10  40  20  40  20 
TROY        69  87  69  90  70 /  10  40  20  50  20 

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE. 

&&

$$