095 
ACUS01 KWNS 131605
SWODY1
SPC AC 131604

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1004 AM CST Sat Dec 13 2025

Valid 131630Z - 141200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight.

...Southeast TX/Southwest LA...
Morning satellite loops confirm northward transport of low-level
moisture into parts of the southern Plains and lower MS Valley. 
This trend will continue this afternoon and evening as a shallow
surface cold front sags southward through the region.  Model
guidance suggests that weak but sufficient instability will develop
after dark from southeast TX into southwest LA to result in a few
pre-frontal thunderstorms.  Shear is weak, and limited CAPE will
preclude organized severe storms.  However, small hail is possible
in the strongest cores tonight.

...FL...
A low-latitude disturbance crossing the Gulf and a northward
moisture flux ahead of it will contribute to thunderstorm potential
across the Florida Keys/Florida Straits today, and also across the
southern Florida Peninsula tonight. Severe thunderstorms are
unlikely with these scenarios.

..Hart/Dean.. 12/13/2025

$$