261 FNUS53 KAPX 121825 FWFAPX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan National Weather Service Gaylord MI 225 PM EDT Fri Sep 12 2025 .DISCUSSION...A disturbance will move across the area from the northwest later tonight into Saturday. The disturbance will be accompanied by a chance of showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Rainfall totals will be on the light side, with some areas seeing little to no rainfall. Winds the next couple of days will be relatively light, with mixing heights on the low side. This setup support fair smoke dispersion at best. MIZ016-017-021>023-099-130815- Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency Counties- 225 PM EDT Fri Sep 12 2025 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Patchy fog. Chance of rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms after 2400. Min Temperature.....54-59. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........91-96 percent. 24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except unchanged along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Vent Rate...........Poor (14). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southwest after midnight. Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.21 in. Chance of Thunder...13 percent. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of rain showers until 1200. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Slight chance of rain showers after 1200. Max Temperature.....71-76...except 64-69 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler. Min Humidity........52-57 percent...except 64-69 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 13 mph. Vent Rate...........Fair (236). Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.30 in. Chance of Thunder...16 percent. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Min Temperature.....54-59...except around 61 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except unchanged along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Vent Rate...........Poor (12). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 3 mph shifting to the east after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in . Chance of Thunder...18 percent. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Max Temperature.....75-80...except around 70 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. Min Humidity........52-57 percent. 24 HR Trend......2 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph. Vent Rate...........Fair (246). Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East 3 to 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...1 percent. $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-130815- Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac Counties...including Eastern Huron NF- 225 PM EDT Fri Sep 12 2025 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Patchy fog after 2400. Slight chance of rain showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....52-57. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........89-94 percent. 24 HR Trend......5 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Vent Rate...........Poor (21). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph shifting to the southwest after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in . Chance of Thunder...7 percent. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Patchy fog until 1200. Slight chance of rain showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 1200. Max Temperature.....73-78...except 64-69 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler. Min Humidity........52-57 percent. 24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter...except 2 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph . Vent Rate...........Fair (225). Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.26 in . Chance of Thunder...14 percent. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Min Temperature.....54-59. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 85-90 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Vent Rate...........Poor (14). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the northeast around 3 mph after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . Chance of Thunder...19 percent. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Max Temperature.....75-80...except 60-65 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer...except 4 degrees cooler near the coast. Min Humidity........56-61 percent. 24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter...except 14 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph . Vent Rate...........Fair (248). Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast 3 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...1 percent. $$ MIZ020-025>027-130815- Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL- 225 PM EDT Fri Sep 12 2025 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms after 2400. Min Temperature.....54-59. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........89-94 percent. 24 HR Trend......10 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Vent Rate...........Poor (14). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast around 3 mph shifting to the south around 6 mph after midnight. Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.18 in. Chance of Thunder...11 percent. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain showers until 1200. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Slight chance of rain showers after 1200. Max Temperature.....75-80...except 61-66 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. Min Humidity........54-59 percent. 24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter...except unchanged along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 13 mph. Vent Rate...........Fair (291). Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.47 in. Chance of Thunder...25 percent. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Min Temperature.....56-61. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Vent Rate...........Poor (17). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the east after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...18 percent. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Max Temperature.....79-84...except around 70 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........47-52 percent. 24 HR Trend......8 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Vent Rate...........Fair (269). Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...1 percent. $$ MIZ031>033-130815- Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the northern quarter of Manistee NF- 225 PM EDT Fri Sep 12 2025 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2400, then mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....53-58. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........83-88 percent. 24 HR Trend......16 percent drier...except 10 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Vent Rate...........Poor (14). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph shifting to the south after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in . Chance of Thunder...9 percent. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of thunderstorms until 1200. Chance of rain showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 1200. Max Temperature.....75-80...except 68-73 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler. Min Humidity........52-57 percent. 24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter...except 2 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 13 mph. Vent Rate...........Good (385). Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.53 in. Chance of Thunder...28 percent. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of rain showers until 2400. Min Temperature.....54-59. 24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer. Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter...except 10 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Vent Rate...........Poor (17). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in . Chance of Thunder...17 percent. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Max Temperature.....80-85...except 72-77 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........46-51 percent...except 56-61 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......7 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the afternoon. Vent Rate...........Good (366). Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...2 percent. $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-130815- Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin Counties...including Western Huron NF- 225 PM EDT Fri Sep 12 2025 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....52-57. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........86-91 percent. 24 HR Trend......11 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Vent Rate...........Poor (16). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 3 to 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in . Chance of Thunder...5 percent. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Max Temperature.....75-80. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........52-57 percent. 24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph . Vent Rate...........Good (331). Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.32 in. Chance of Thunder...20 percent. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of rain showers until 2400. Min Temperature.....55-60. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........94-99 percent. 24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Vent Rate...........Poor (13). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East 3 to 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in . Chance of Thunder...24 percent. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Max Temperature.....77-82. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........47-52 percent. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the afternoon. Vent Rate...........Good (323). Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...1 percent. $$ .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ PBB