266 FXUS63 KIWX 261844 CCA AFDIWX Area Forecast Discussion...Correction National Weather Service Northern Indiana 244 PM EDT Sun Oct 26 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Seasonably cool and dry weather continues through Tuesday. - Rain is possible (30-60%) at times Wednesday through Friday with cool temperatures continuing. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 228 PM EDT Sun Oct 26 2025 Seasonably cool temperatures and dry low level easterly flow to persist through Tuesday on the southern fringes of a prominent upper ridge. The low level height gradient does tighten a bit into Monday and Tuesday with diurnally driven gusts approaching 20 mph. Skies will generally trend mostly clear to partly cloudy otherwise as some mid-high level cloud cover sneaks in at times on the northern periphery of a weak low meandering east into the TN Valley. Model guidance agrees on an incoming northern pacific jet closing off an upper low into the western OH/TN Valleys Tuesday night through Wednesday night. This feature then interacts in some fashion with a Northeast CONUS upper low and lifts northward with some deepening to the sfc reflection noted in guidance Thursday into early Friday. The 12z trend overall was toward the farther south and east solution with more appreciable rainfall within the system deformation axis pivoting around the area (drier). Still plenty of spread in ensembles given the uncertainties in these upper low mergers. Thus, opted not to deviate from NBM broadbrush chance PoPs mid-late week. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/... Issued at 106 PM EDT Sun Oct 26 2025 Persistent east flow is expected through the TAF period on the southern edge of high pressure over the eastern Great Lakes. Cannot rule out patchy ground fog prior to daybreak, with some Lake Erie moisture transport. && .IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IN...None. OH...None. MI...None. MARINE...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Steinwedel AVIATION...Brown