244 
FXUS64 KSHV 251622
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1122 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025

...New DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1120 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025

 - Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible this
   afternoon across portions of South Arkansas and North 
   Louisiana.

 - Milder temperatures expected through the upcoming weekend.

 - Temperatures should begin to moderate next week with dry
   conditions persisting. 

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1039 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025

A weak frontal boundary across the lower Mississippi River Valley 
combined with an upper-trough swinging east across the region 
could allow for widely scattered showers and thunderstorms across 
north Louisiana and south Arkansas this afternoon. Once the trough
exits to the east, upper-level ridging will build across the Red 
River Valley into Oklahoma allowing for north to northwest flow 
across the ArkLaTex through the weekend. Subsidence associated 
with the ridge will allow for mostly clear skies areawide through 
much of the period. This pattern to persist through at least 
Tuesday. On Wednesday, the forecast becomes a bit more challenging
and is dependent on a series of disturbances in the tropical 
Atlantic that will build west across the southeast CONUS. 
Instability associated with these disturbances could allow for 
increasing rain chances by midweek.

Much milder temperatures expected through the weekend as highs 
will average in the mid to upper 80s with lows in the upper 50s to
lower 60s. Otherwise, could see slightly warmer overnight low 
temperatures in the low to mid 60s by midweek. /05/ 

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 649 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025

For the 25/12 TAF period...VFR conditions across the region, 
except at KELD/KMLU. Low cigs will remain at KELD/KMLU for a good
portion of today, with a slight chance of some afternoon light 
rain. The low cigs will likely spread westward into KTXK, and 
possibly KSHV today as well. VFR conditions should eventually 
return areawide by late this afternoon, but some patchy fog is
possible towards the end of the period. /20/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1120 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.  

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  85  65  86  63 /   0   0   0   0 
MLU  84  64  85  60 /  20   0   0   0 
DEQ  82  58  84  57 /   0   0   0   0 
TXK  84  62  85  60 /   0   0   0   0 
ELD  82  60  84  56 /  20   0   0   0 
TYR  83  62  84  61 /   0   0   0   0 
GGG  83  61  85  60 /   0   0   0   0 
LFK  87  62  87  61 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...20