389 FXUS63 KSGF 251114 AFDSGF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Springfield MO 614 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Morning clouds and fog. Some fog may be dense...mainly over western Missouri and southeast Kansas. - Above normal temperatures and dry weather this weekend into next week. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Issued at 203 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025 Upper level analysis shows an upper trough from a low centered over lake Michigan through east TX, with a ridge axis over the Rockies and low pressure pushing into CA. A surface frontal system has pushed east into the bootheel of MO. Behind the frontal system was a large area of stratus with LIFR/IFR ceilings. Behind the stratus deck, areas of dense fog have developed. The stratus and fog will likely continue through the mid morning before beginning to burn off. Drier air should continue to work into the area behind the upper trough and frontal system and we should clear out during the afternoon. Highs should be quite a bit warmer than yesterday with readings in the mid 70s to around 80. For tonight, a mostly clear sky, light wind and boundary layer moisture still over the area, some additional fog may develop, mainly over the western half of the CWA. Lows should dip back into the mid 50s. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 203 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025 The trough will continue to shift east on Friday. Upper ridging will eventually build into the area this weekend into the first part of next week with generally dry conditions and warmer than normal temperatures. As we head into early October in the 8 to 14 day outlook, global ensembles suggesting continuing the above normal temperatures by about 4 to 6 degrees. Normal highs for this time of year are in the mid 70s. No significant precipitation is expected during this period. && .AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/... Issued at 612 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025 For the 12z TAFS, areas of stratus and fog will continue to affecct the TAF sites through mid morning with LIFR/IFR conditions. Conditions should begin to improve by mid morning, eventually to VFR. Additional fog is expected to redevelop late tonight with a light wind, clear sky and continued boundary level moisture. && .SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CDT this morning for KSZ101. MO...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CDT this morning for MOZ055- 066>068-077>079-088-089-093-101. && $$ SHORT TERM...Lindenberg LONG TERM...Lindenberg AVIATION...Lindenberg