128 
FXUS63 KDDC 250839
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
339 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Temperatures will be near to slightly above seasonal averages
  over the next week.

- There are very small chances for showers and t-storms Sunday
  and Monday evenings and again next Wednesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 259 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025

A quiet weather pattern is predicted for the next several days.
In the absence of any strong upper level troughs and strong
surface winds that would create temperature advections, expect
readings to be close to seasonal averages through the weekend.
As seasonal averages drop next week and temperatures remain at 
similar levels, expect readings to eventually be slightly above 
average. 

The next chance of rain, albeit small, is Sunday and Monday 
as an upper level low over the Desert Southwest moves eastward 
and weakens. Marginal potential instability will be in place 
across far western Kansas, which may result in a shower or non-
severe thunderstorm. But most locations will stay dry. 
Probabilistically, the ensemble means only show 20-40% chances 
of .01" or greater of rain across far western Kansas, indicating
that any significant rain will be spotty at best. Chances for 
1" or greater of rain are close to 0%.

The next upper level system will approach the high plains by 
the middle of next week. Marginal instability will still be in 
place so that a few showers and non-severe t-storms are 
possible. Again, the ensemble means only show 20-30% chances 
for .01" of rain or greater. Chances for 1" or greater of rain 
over a 24 hour period are close to 0%.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 100 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025

Weak surface high pressure will persist across the plains 
during the period. Given the recent rains and radiational 
cooling, patchy MVFR visibilities can be expected through 13z at
KDDC and KGCK. Otherwise, VFR conditions will persist.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Finch
AVIATION...Finch