110 FXUS64 KTSA 250528 AFDTSA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tulsa OK 1228 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1230 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025 - Areas of fog tonight and early Thursday morning. Locally dense fog possible in northwest AR and far northeast OK. - Dry weather and slightly cooler temperatures Thursday before warming back to near or slightly above average by this weekend and into next week. && .SHORT TERM... (Through Thursday) Issued at 1230 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025 A few lingering showers possible across northwest AR, generally east of I-49 for another hour or two, otherwise a dry forecast overnight with cooler temperatures. Some combination of low clouds and fog can be expected tonight through a portion of far eastern OK and northwest AR with current temp/dew point spreads within a few degrees or less. While at least a low (20-40%) probability of reduction to 1/4 mile vis does exist across mainly northwest AR, the current extent of low stratus lends enough uncertainty to preclude an advisory at this time. Expect patchy fog to eventually develop over much of eastern OK later tonight as well with much lower potential for significant reductions. Aside from morning fog, expect a dry day with temperatures a few degrees warmer, owing to increase in sun. Dew points in the upper 50s and lower 60s will make for a comfortable afternoon. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday night through Wednesday) Issued at 1230 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025 Prolonged stretch of quiet weather is expected through the weekend and continuing to at least the middle of next week as we remain under the ridge withing a blocking pattern for several days. Temperatures will gradually warm into the weekend, with daytime highs at least returning to above normal. At this time Saturday and Sunday appear to be the warmest afternoons, with some spots along and west of Highway 75 in eastern OK reaching upper 80s. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1230 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025 Low clouds are expanding westward across far NW AR with patchy dense fog developing further west where skies have cleared. This similar pattern is forecast to continue through mid morning with IFR to periodic LIFR conditions from either very low ceilings or visibility restriction in dense fog. Conditions begin to improve by mid morning with a trend toward VFR levels area wide with light winds. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TUL 80 60 83 60 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 80 61 83 60 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 81 58 83 57 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 80 55 82 55 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 78 54 79 53 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 76 54 78 53 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 79 57 81 57 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 78 56 81 54 / 0 0 0 0 F10 80 56 82 55 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 80 59 82 58 / 0 0 0 0 && .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. AR...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...14 LONG TERM....14 AVIATION...07