074 
FXUS62 KKEY 250228
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
1028 PM EDT Wed Sep 24 2025

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1030 PM EDT Wed Sep 24 2025

A weak surface through lower level ridge extends across the
Florida Peninsula this evening. winds are light and broadly out of
the northeast. Some variability is evident due to earlier day time
heating. This evenings sounding indicated precipitable water was
ample near near 2 inches and surface dew points are seasonable. 
However, there are some decent dew point depressions through the 
lower levels and some low level inhibition. The flow late this
afternoon was conducive for cloud line formation and some
incursion from mainland seabreeze activity. However, this activity
will rather weak and all activity has long since dissipated.

Weak surface through lower level ridging will remain in control
through the overnight period. Plan view and forecast soundings
suggest some moistening will occur through the lower levels.
However, instability below 700 mb will be quite limited and low
level lift is expected to be limited. As a result, will nudge PoPs
down to slight chance, near to slightly above statistical
guidance. Winds will become prevailing easterly as the effects of
day time heating wears off. This flow will help to keep overnight
lows near to slightly above 80 with dew points in the mid 70s.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1030 PM EDT Wed Sep 24 2025

Weak ridging across Florida will maintain light breezes on Keys
waters overnight. As day time effects wane, winds will become more
uniform easterlies. Convective activity is expected to be
isolated.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1030 PM EDT Wed Sep 24 2025

VFR conditions will prevail at the island terminals overnight.
Surface winds will be light and variable, becoming east.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Key West  89  82  89  82 /  20  20  20  20 
Marathon  89  81  89  81 /  30  30  20  20 

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...11
Aviation/Nowcasts....11
Data Acquisition.....DR

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