151 
FNUS75 KMSO 122345
FWSMSO

Spot Forecast for Elk Creek
National Weather Service Missoula MT
545 PM MDT Fri Sep 12 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 MDT on September 12. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A slight chance exists for showers and thunderstorms
through midnight tonight. Radar activity has been gradually
decreasing the last few hours and this trend is expected to
continue into this evening. Winds will remain light and terrain
driven through Saturday. High pressure begins to build aloft on
Saturday, with isolated showers and thunderstorms forming over the
terrain after 1400. Westerly winds will trend higher on Sunday as
a Pacific system approaches from the west. Rain showers arrives 
Sunday evening and end by later Monday, with a 70% chance for a 
precipitation, a 50% chance for wetting rains and a 40% chance 
for 0.25 inches of precipitation.


.TONIGHT...

* Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers
  and thunderstorms in the evening. 
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...10 percent. 
* Chance Lightning....20 percent. 
* Min Temperature.....44-49. 
* Max Humidity........81-86 percent. 
* Wind (20 ft)........Variable 1-3 mph. 
* Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. 
* Mixing Winds........Northwest 5 mph. 
* Precip Amount.......0.00-0.02 inches. 

.SATURDAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and 
  thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...Less than 10 percent. 
* Chance Lightning....20 percent. 
* Max Temperature.....69-74. 
* Min Humidity........41-46 percent. 
* Wind (20 ft)........Variable 1-3 mph becoming west-northwest 3-5
  mph in the afternoon.  
* Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl increasing to 5500 ft agl in the 
  afternoon. 
* Mixing Winds........West 5 mph. 
* Precip Amount.......0.00-0.01 inches. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear. 
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent. 
* Chance Lightning....0 percent. 
* Min Temperature.....46-51. 
* Max Humidity........71-76 percent. 
* Wind (20 ft)........Variable 1-3 mph. 
* Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl decreasing to 500 ft agl early in 
  the evening. 
* Mixing Winds........Southwest 5 mph. 
* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches. 

.SUNDAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and 
  slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...Less than 10 percent. 
* Chance Lightning....15 percent. 
* Max Temperature.....69-74. 
* Min Humidity........39-44 percent. 
* Wind (20 ft)........Variable 2-5 mph becoming west 6-8 mph with
  gusts of 10-14 mph in the afternoon. 
* Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl increasing to 8000 ft agl. 
* Mixing Winds........West 10 mph. 
* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches. 

$$
Forecaster...Lukinbeal
Requested by...Jason Keister
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2521892.0/MSO
.DELDT 09/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL andre.dulac@usda.gov,jason.keister@usda.gov