503 
FNUS75 KMSO 091100
FWSMSO

Spot Forecast for Mud Creek
National Weather Service Missoula MT
500 AM MDT Tue Sep 9 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on September 09. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Showers will move up from southern Idaho over the
fire near noon-time. Thunderstorm development is possible between
2 and 6 pm. Initially, the outflow winds will be from the south,
but will be erratic at times as the showers move to the north. If
storms are able to track near the fire, then gusts to 40 mph would
be possible. Another round of showers are possible overnight.
Storms will be possible between 3pm and midnight Wednesday,
Thursday, and Friday. They will be capable of very heavy rainfall,
lightning, small hail, and gusty winds to 35 mph. Cloud cover,
increased humidity and cooler temperatures are expected by the end
of the week. Precipitation ranges on Thursday include 0.11" to 
0.50", and on Friday from 0.03" to 0.35". 


.TODAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and 
  slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...Less than 10 percent. 
* Chance Lightning....20 percent. 
* Max Temperature.....76-80. 
* Min Humidity........27-32 percent. 
* Wind (20 ft)........Variable 1-3 mph becoming South 4 to 8 mph
  with gusts to 15 mph in the afternoon. Erratic gusts to 40 mph
  with showers. 
* Mixing Height.......Increasing to 8500 ft agl. 
* Mixing Winds........South 10 mph. 
* Precip Amount.......0.00 to 0.08 inches. 

.TONIGHT...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and slight 
  chance of thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of rain overnight. 
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...40 percent. 
* Chance Lightning....20 percent. 
* Min Temperature.....48-51. 
* Max Humidity........78-84 percent. 
* Wind (20 ft)........Variable 1-3 mph, except erratic winds to 25
  mph with showers.
* Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl decreasing to 1000 ft agl early 
  in the evening. 
* Mixing Winds........Southeast 5 mph. 
* Precip Amount.......0.01 to 0.10 inches. 

.WEDNESDAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and 
  slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...10 percent. 
* Chance Lightning....20 percent. 
* Max Temperature.....76-80. 
* Min Humidity........34-38 percent. 
* Wind (20 ft)........Variable 1-3 mph becoming upslope 3 to 6
  mph. Erratic winds to 35 mph with storms.  
* Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl increasing to 5500 ft agl in the 
  afternoon. 
* Mixing Winds........Northeast 5 mph. 
* Precip Amount.......0.01 to 0.11 inches. 

$$
Forecaster...Noble
Requested by...Sean Rivera
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2521588.1/MSO
.DELDT 09/09/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mtmdc@firenet.gov,sean.rivera@usda.gov