719 
FNUS76 KOTX 052253
FWSOTX

Spot Forecast for Kinkaid Creek Complex...NEWA IMT2
National Weather Service Spokane WA
353 PM PDT Tue Aug 5 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 PDT on August 06. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Wednesday will see light rain (0.05-0.15") developing early in the
morning, becoming isolated showers by 1200. There is a very small
chance (<10%) of lightning Wednesday but that increases to 40% of
thunderstorms Thursday. Thunderstorms on Thursday carry the risk
of strong and erratic outflow winds gusting as high as 30-50 mph
along with frequent lightning. Rainfall amounts will largely
depend on whether the complex is impacted by a thunderstorm, but
could be as high as 1.0" of rain. Timing of the storms on Thursday
will be as early as 1000 through 2000 local time. 

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers through the day. 
                    Slight chance (<10%) of thunderstorms in the 
                    afternoon. Haze in the afternoon. 
CWR.................30 percent. 
Chance of lightning.5 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 66. 
Min umidity.........59 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusts as high as 
                    18 mph in the afternoon. 
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL increasing to 4000 ft AGL in the afternoon. 
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Haze 
                    in the evening. Chance of rain showers through 
                    the night. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
Chance of lightning.0 percent. 
Min temperature.....Around 49. 
Max humidity........91 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph in the evening 
                    becoming light.  
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL in the evening falling to near surface by 2200. 
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 10 mph. 

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. 40% chance of thunderstorms. 
CWR.................40 percent. 
Chance of lightning.40 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 67. 
Min humidity........47 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest around 4 to 7 mph becoming northwest 6 to 10 mph
                    around 1400.  Wind gusts to 15 mph in the afternoon. 
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. 
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL increasing to 7000 ft AGL in the 
                    afternoon. 
Transport winds.....South around 6 mph shifting to the northwest in 
                    the afternoon. 

$$
Forecaster...AB / CD
Requested by...Jason McGovern
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2519026.5/OTX
.DELDT 08/05/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jason.mcgovern2@usda.gov,christina.buhrig@usda.gov