870 
FNUS76 KOTX 052119
FWSOTX

Spot Forecast for CASTLE ROCK...NEWICC
National Weather Service Spokane WA
219 PM PDT Tue Aug 5 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 PDT on August 06. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Wednesday will bring light rains (0.05-0.15") and a slight chance 
(15%) for thunderstorms at the fire, during the 1100 through 2100
local time. Thursday has a higher potential for thunderstorms 
(40% chance). Thunderstorms Thursday will be capable of strong 
and erratic outflow winds around 30-50 mph, hail size up to 1", 
and frequent lightning. Rainfall amounts Thursday will depend on 
whether a thunderstorm hits the fire. If it does, rainfall could 
reach up to 1.0". If thunderstorms miss the fire, there could be 
no rain Thursday. Timing of storms on Thursday will be as early as
1000 through 2000 local time.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers through the day. 
                    Slight chance of thunderstorms in the 
                    afternoon. 
CWR.................25 percent. 
Chance of lightning.20 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 71. 
Min humidity........50 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph. Gusty and erratic 
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the 
                    afternoon. 
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL increasing to 4000 ft AGL in the 
                    afternoon. 
Transport winds.....South 10 to 11 mph. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms 
                    in the evening. Rain showers likely through the 
                    night. 
CWR.................35 percent. 
Chance of lightning.20 percent. 
Min temperature.....Around 44. 
Max humidity........100 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph in the evening 
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds 
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening. 
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL falling to 500 ft AGL decreasing to 
                    500 ft AGL overnight. 
Transport winds.....South around 9 mph in the evening becoming 
                    light. 

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and chance of 
                    thunderstorms. 
CWR.................60 percent. 
Chance of lightning.35 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 72. 
Min humidity........43 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected 
                    near thunderstorms. 
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL increasing to 6500 ft AGL in the 
                    afternoon. 
Transport winds.....South 6 to 7 mph. 

$$
Forecaster...CD
Requested by...Dusty Patrick
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2519022.5/OTX
.DELDT 08/05/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dusty_patrick@firenet.gov,wanec@firenet.gov,aana_kulaas@firenet.gov,eric_krausz@firenet.gov