872 FNUS72 KMLB 170727 FWSMLB Spot Forecast for SFWMD - Shingle Creek- 24,21...South Florida Water Management District National Weather Service Melbourne FL 327 AM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on June 17. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Mostly dry conditions are anticipated near the burn site, with a 20 percent chance for showers and storms in the late afternoon and early evening near any sea breeze collision. Confidence activity does remain low, and any activity that does develop is forecast to diminish into the overnight hours. Light southerly winds become more southeasterly around 10 mph as the east coast sea breeze moves inland. Minimum RH values range between 40 to 45 percent today, remaining above critical thresholds. Afternoon smoke dispersion values are forecast to be good. Similar conditions are forecast for Wednesday near the burn site. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. Max temperature.....Around 95. Min humidity........44 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL increasing to 6900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 7 to 12 mph. Dispersion index....4 increasing to 50. LVORI...............6 decreasing to 1. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........1 0 3 1 4 7 3 5 12 13 20 26 Weather cov..... SCH Weather type.... RW Tstm cov........ SCH Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20 Temp............77 76 78 81 85 87 90 92 93 93 95 93 RH..............90 92 86 78 67 62 55 50 47 45 44 45 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S SE 20 FT wind spd..5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 20 FT wind gust.7 7 8 8 9 10 12 12 12 12 12 12 Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.2 2.0 2.9 3.8 4.6 5.6 6.1 6.5 6.9 6.5 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S SE Transp wind spd.9 8 12 10 10 9 8 8 7 7 7 7 Dispersion idx..4 4 17 28 38 42 46 49 50 47 50 50 LVORI...........6 6 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the evening, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the evening. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. Min temperature.....Around 76. Max humidity........91 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the evening. Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 14 mph. Dispersion index....46 decreasing to 6. LVORI...............1 increasing to 5. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........23 46 46 46 40 49 Weather cov.....CHANCE S CHC Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........CHANCE S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).30 20 10 10 0 0 Temp............92 86 83 81 80 78 RH..............49 64 71 76 79 85 20 ft wind......SE 8 SE 9 SE 8 SE 6 S 6 SE 6 20 ft wind gust.13 14 12 10 9 8 Mix hgt (ft)....5100 900 1000 1000 800 500 Transport wind..SE 8 SE 13 SE 14 S 13 S 12 S 9 Dispersion idx..46 11 9 8 6 6 LVORI...........1 2 3 4 4 5 .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......40 percent. Max temperature.....Around 94. Min humidity........47 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL increasing to 6300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 9 mph. Dispersion index....4 increasing to 47. LVORI...............6 decreasing to 1. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........23 22 27 35 38 40 Weather cov..... CHANCE CHANCE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ CHANCE CHANCE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 40 40 Temp............77 79 84 89 92 93 RH..............88 84 71 59 50 48 20 ft wind......SE 5 SE 6 S 6 S 6 SE 7 SE 8 20 ft wind gust.7 7 9 12 13 14 Mix hgt (ft)....400 900 3100 4800 6000 6200 Transport wind..S 9 S 9 S 8 S 8 SE 7 SE 7 Dispersion idx..4 10 32 46 47 47 LVORI...........6 5 3 1 1 1 $$ Forecaster...Tollefsen Requested by...David Schutt Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2516080.0/MLB .DELDT 06/17/25 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL dschutt@sfwmd.gov