686 FNUS71 KRNK 291247 FWSRNK Spot Forecast for Hungry Mother State Park RX Burn...DCR/Virginia State Parks National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 747 AM EST Thu Feb 29 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EST on February 29. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... ...Low Humidity This afternoon... High pressure and dry weather arrive today with lighter wind. Minimum humidity this afternoon will be mainly 25 to 30 percent. A low pressure system along the Gulf Coast will bring rain on Friday and Saturday. Dry weather returns again for the beginning of next week. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent. Max temperature.....Around 45. Min humidity........27 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL. Mixing winds........Northwest 7 to 16 mph decreasing to around 5 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (11600 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (30900 knot-ft) in the afternoon. LVORI...............2. ADI.................17 to 43. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........3 12 19 29 33 26 44 26 27 43 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............24 27 31 34 37 41 43 44 44 44 RH..............62 56 46 40 36 30 29 28 28 29 20 FT wind dir..W NW NW NW NW NW NW W NW NW 20 FT wind spd..10 9 8 8 7 6 6 6 5 5 20 FT wind gust.16 14 13 12 11 10 8 8 6 6 Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 2.0 2.2 2.7 2.9 3.0 3.2 3.3 3.0 2.6 Mixng wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW Mixng wind spd..16 15 14 13 13 12 10 8 7 5 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 ADI.............39 37 36 40 39 43 40 34 26 17 Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 VRate mph-ft/1K.31 30 30 36 35 35 33 28 21 13 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent. Min temperature.....Around 29. Max humidity........65 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 6 mph overnight. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Mixing winds........Northwest 2 to 3 mph shifting to the northeast late in the evening, then shifting to the southeast 5 to 7 mph overnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (600 knot-ft). LVORI...............3. ADI.................1 to 5. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........55 61 49 66 58 66 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............42 35 33 32 31 32 RH..............33 45 51 54 58 61 20 ft wind......NW 4 NE 3 E 3 E 4 E 5 E 6 20 ft wind gust.5 5 5 6 6 7 Mix hgt (ft)....500 400 400 400 500 500 Mixing wind.....NW 3 N 2 NE 2 E 5 SE 6 SE 7 LVORI...........2 2 2 2 3 3 ADI.............2 1 1 3 4 5 Haines index....4 4 4 4 5 5 VRate mph-ft/1K.2 1 1 2 3 3 .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Becoming cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of rain early in the morning, then rain likely late in the afternoon. CWR (0.01 in).......10 percent increasing to 70 percent. Max temperature.....Around 40. Min humidity........56 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph. Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL. Mixing winds........Southeast 8 to 16 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3200 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to fair (15800 knot-ft) in the afternoon. LVORI...............3. ADI.................6 to 23. Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........51 80 84 89 92 91 Weather cov..... S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY Weather type....NONE RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 20 20 30 50 70 Temp............32 35 40 40 40 38 RH..............62 62 56 62 71 85 20 ft wind......E 5 SE 6 SE 6 SE 7 SE 7 SE 7 20 ft wind gust.8 8 11 12 12 12 Mix hgt (ft)....500 800 1100 1200 1200 1200 Mixing wind.....SE 8 SE 12 SE 16 SE 14 SE 12 SE 12 LVORI...........3 3 2 2 3 4 ADI.............6 10 22 21 16 16 Haines index....5 4 4 4 3 3 VRate mph-ft/1K.4 10 18 16 14 14 $$ Forecaster...Silverman Requested by...Jordon Blevins Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2405285.0/RNK .DELDT 02/29/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL jordon.blevins@dcr.virginia.gov