104 
FXUS64 KMEG 092336
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
636 PM CDT Mon Oct 9 2023

...New AVIATION...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 138 PM CDT Mon Oct 9 2023

Wind speeds around 10 miles per hour with gusting winds up to 15 
miles per hour will persist in the MidSouth through the evening. A
weak cold front is expected to come through and result in 
slightly cooler air tonight with lows starting in the upper 40s. 
Temperatures will continue to warm throughout the week with highs 
ranging in the upper 70s to lower 80s. By the end of the week, 
another cold front will bring in rain showers and perhaps a 
thunderstorm throughout the MidSouth. Following the cold front, 
cooler temperatures and drier air conditions are expected into the
weekend. 

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Sunday)
Issued at 138 PM CDT Mon Oct 9 2023

Upper-level water vapor imagery shows an upper level low centered
over Quebec with a broad upper trough axis digging south and
encompassing the east CONUS. 

Wind speeds around 10kts with gusting winds up to 15kts will
persist through the MidSouth this evening. A weak cold front in 
association with a shortwave trough will come through tonight and 
bring in slightly cooler temperatures for the northern half of 
the forecast area. Lows for tonight are expected to start in the 
upper 40s. 

Temperatures will continue to increase throughout the week as an
upper level ridge builds within the region. Highs are anticipated to warm 
into the upper 80s by midweek. 

A warm front will lift through the region starting Tuesday and 
bring in some moisture throughout. However, rain showers in 
association with the front stay mostly to the north of the 
forecast area. As the aforementioned front lifts, another warm 
front will lift through the Gulf of Mexico and introduce some rain
showers in the southeast CONUS. Model guidance shows showers 
ahead of the front remaining south of the forecast area. Pops were
still added into north MS in order to show slight chances of rain
entering the forecast area. 

On Friday, another cold front is expected to move across the 
region and bring in the greatest chance for rain showers area 
wide. Cooler temperatures and drier air conditions will follow 
into the weekend with highs dropping 10-15 degrees with readings 
in the 60s. 

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 631 PM CDT Mon Oct 9 2023

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the period. Winds
look to have a brief westerly period tomorrow afternoon before 
becoming northeasterly again behind a reinforcing cold front but 
should remain light. A non tropical low pressure system along the
Gulf Coast should bring in a cirrus shield from south to north 
starting tomorrow morning.

CAD

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC FORECAST...GNC
AVIATION...CAD