588 
FNUS75 KFGZ 261041
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Cottonwood Ridge...BIA
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
341 AM MST Wed Jul 26 2023

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MST on July 26. 
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the 
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Mainly hot and dry conditions are expected. Showers and 
thunderstorms will be possible each day, mainly in the afternoon and evening. 
The main hazards with any storms will be frequent lightning, gusty winds, brief
heavy rainfall, and small hail. Gusty, erratic wind shifts of 30 to 40 mph will
be possible near and around thunderstorms. Winds outside of storm activity will 
be light with afternoon minimum RH values in the upper teens to low 20s.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming partly sunny. Haze and 
                    areas of smoke in the afternoon. Chance of 
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
Chance of pcpn......50 percent. 
Max temperature.....93 to 96. 
Min humidity........15 to 20 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic 
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the 
                    afternoon. 
LAL.................3. 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Max Vent Rate.......Good. 
Clearing Index......568. 
Mixing height.......9600 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 15100 
                    ft AGL late in the morning, then decreasing to 
                    200 ft AGL late in the afternoon. 
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 knots shifting to the east 
                    early in the afternoon, then shifting to the 
                    west late in the afternoon. 

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Haze and areas of smoke in the 
                    evening. Chance of showers and thunderstorms 
                    in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent. 
Min temperature.....62 to 65. 
Max humidity........52 to 56 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph in the evening 
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds 
                    expected near thunderstorms. 
LAL.................3. 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Min Vent Rate.......Poor. 
Clearing Index......2. 
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 knots. 

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. Chance of 
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Haze and
                    areas of smoke in the afternoon. 
Chance of pcpn......60 percent. 
Max temperature.....92 to 96. 
Min humidity........15 to 20 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the 
                    northwest around 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. 
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. 
LAL.................3. 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Max Vent Rate.......Very good. 
Clearing Index......882. 
Mixing height.......8600 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 14400 
                    ft AGL late in the morning, then decreasing to 
                    300 ft AGL late in the afternoon. 
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 knots shifting to the 
                    northwest in the afternoon. 

$$
Forecaster...MEOLA
Requested by...Springerville Dispatch
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2317476.1/FGZ
.DELDT 07/26/23
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azsdc@firenet.gov