797 
FNUS75 KFGZ 251714
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Ridge...USFS
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1014 AM MST Tue Jul 25 2023

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1000 MST on July 25. 
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the 
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Scattered afternoon thunderstorms are forecast 
today and Wednesday in the vicinity of the fire. The chance of
rain is around 50 percent both days, with storms capable of 
moderate to heavy rain and wind gusts to 40 mph. Even if storms
don't hit the fire directly, the area could experience gusty 
and erratic outflow winds from nearby storms.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny in the morning, then becoming 
                    mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and 
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
Chance of pcpn......50 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 90. 
Min humidity........18 to 23 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........West-southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts 
                    around 15 mph. Gusty and erratic winds 
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
LAL.................3. 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent. 
Clearing Index......1635. 
Mixing height.......12900 ft AGL in the late morning and afternoon 
                    decreasing to 700 ft AGL late in the afternoon. 
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 knots increasing to west 
                    around 20 knots late in the afternoon. 

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. 
                    Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in 
                    the evening. 
Chance of pcpn......20 percent. 
Min temperature.....53 to 58. 
Max humidity........50 to 60 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Gusty and erratic winds expected near 
                    thunderstorms in the evening, otherwise winds
                    becoming primarily downslope (northeasterly) 
                    up to 5 mph. 
LAL.................2. 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Min Vent Rate.......Poor. 
Clearing Index......1. 
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots shifting to the 
                    northeast in the late evening and overnight. 

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. Chance of 
                    showers and thunderstorms, mainly during the
                    afternoon. 
Chance of pcpn......50 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 91. 
Min humidity........17 to 22 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........West-southwest 5 to 10 mph with gusts around
                    15 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected 
                    near thunderstorms. 
LAL.................3. 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent. 
Clearing Index......2350. 
Mixing height.......8700 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 14900 
                    ft AGL late in the morning, then decreasing to 
                    1500 ft AGL late in the afternoon. 
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 knots increasing to southwest 15 
                    to 20 knots in the afternoon. 

$$
Forecaster...JOHNDROW
Requested by...Mikayla Jaeckel
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2317475.0/FGZ
.DELDT 07/25/23
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azwdc@firenet.gov