503 FNUS73 KMPX 041244 FWSMPX Spot Forecast for Kill 2...USFWS National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 744 AM CDT Thu May 4 2023 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... Sunny skies will boost temperatures into the lower 70s by early afternoon, which will lower RH values to around 20 percent. Winds will become north at around 10 mph by 10 AM, and should be consistent through the afternoon, with gusts of 14 to 18 mph. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Temperature.........59 at ignition...Max 72. RH..................41 percent at ignition...Min 20 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Winds north at 8 mph at ignition...otherwise North winds 8 to 9 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair /20200 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...excellent /76000 knot-ft/. Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 6300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 13 to 16 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM Sky cover.......MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............59 63 66 69 70 71 72 71 70 70 65 61 RH..............41 36 31 24 22 22 20 22 22 24 28 32 20 FT wind dir..N N N N N N N N N N N NE 20 FT wind spd..8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 20 FT wind gust.13 14 15 15 15 14 14 13 13 13 14 13 Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 3.7 4.2 4.9 5.7 6.1 6.3 6.3 6.0 4.7 0.6 0.6 Transp wind dir.N N N N NW N N N N N N N Transp wind spd.14 16 15 15 14 14 14 13 13 13 10 9 Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Temperature.........Min 41. RH..................Max 89 percent. Wind (20 ft)........North winds 8 to 9 mph shifting to the east 10 to 13 mph late in the evening. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (65800 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (4000 knot-ft) late in the night. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 9 to 13 mph shifting to the east 10 to 18 mph in the late evening and overnight. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Temperature.........Max 66. RH..................Min 44 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 10 to 13 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5900 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (60700 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East 13 to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. $$ Forecaster...Hultquist Requested by...Phil Millette Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2311926.0/MPX .DELDT 05/04/23 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL phil_millette@fws.gov