602 
FXUS64 KLUB 121114
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
614 AM CDT Sun Mar 12 2023

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 335 AM CDT Sun Mar 12 2023

Easterly winds are presently seen across the area as a cold front 
has moved trough and is now located well to the south. Lows tonight 
are expected in the mid 30s in the northwest to the mid 40s off the 
Caprock. Easterlies will persist though today, keeping highs much 
cooler than yesterday in the upper 50s to low 60s. An upper 
shortwave in combination with weak moisture advection in the mid and 
low levels will bring increasing clouds and a slight chance of 
showers this evening. Anything would be quite short-lived and most 
likely north of Lubbock. Given the more widespread cloud cover and 
winds remaining around 10 mph, Monday morning lows have slightly 
increased from the previous forecast, however will remain chilly in 
the mid 30s. While skies will clear on Monday, highs will be even 
cooler, remaining in the 50s over much of the area.  

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 335 AM CDT Sun Mar 12 2023

Zonal flow aloft will pivot gradually to slightly northwest 
throughout the day tomorrow. Cooler midlevel temperatures and cloud 
cover will cool day time highs further from todays values, mostly in 
the mid 50's across our area. A progressive shortwave trough in 
northeast New Mexico late Monday night will pass overhead toward 
North Texas on Tuesday. Moisture return out ahead of the shortwave 
will be meagher, but some light rain is expected with totals ranging 
from a trace to five hundreths at best. Southeast surface winds on 
Monday will veer more southwesterly Tuesday and Wednesday as 
progressive upper level ridging shifts east across our region. H50 
heights begin to fall once again out ahead of a trough that moves 
into eastern New Mexico late Wednesday night. NBM POPs seem to be 
appropriately low given the uncerainty in the tilt of the trough, 
moisture return out ahead of the system and the potential for a dry 
slot to position over our area. The surface cold front that begins 
to push south through our area Thursday evening will cool 
temperatures once again for the end of the week and into the 
weekend, when highs will be 10-15 degrees below normal with light 
snow chances Saturday night as lows drop into the mid to upper 20s 
by early Sunday morning.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 612 AM CDT Sun Mar 12 2023

VFR conditions will persist. Generally light easterly winds will
continue as well, with slighty higher winds of around 15 kts
possible at KLBB this afternoon. 

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....55
AVIATION...19