105 FNUS52 KILM 091356 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 856 AM EST Mon Jan 9 2023 .DISCUSSION... Dry and mild conditions return today and persist through midweek. A cold front will increase rain chances later in the work week before drier and cooler weather arrives for the weekend. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-100600- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 856 AM EST Mon Jan 9 2023 Today Tonight Tue Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 Precip Type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Max/Min Temp 60 30 59 Min/Max RH (%) 48 95 35 Wind20ft/Early (mph) W 5 G17 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) NW 8 G17 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration Precip Begin Precip End Inversion(Temp/Time) 48/0900 1900 51/1100 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 4 4 DSI 1 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 2900 Transport Wind (mph) NW 21 W 6 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 73500 17400 ADI Early 54 Gen Good 7 Poor 8 Poor ADI Late 70 Good 3 Very Poor 19 Gen Poor Max LVORI Early 5 4 6 Max LVORI Late 1 6 2 Min VSBY Early 4 Fog 7 5 Fog Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B F B Remarks...Brotak Profile Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 97 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 94 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 55 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 75 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 41 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 77 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 36 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ NCZ096-099-100600- Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 856 AM EST Mon Jan 9 2023 Today Tonight Tue Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 Precip Type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Max/Min Temp 59 30 59 Min/Max RH (%) 47 97 35 Wind20ft/Early (mph) NW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) NW 6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration Precip Begin Precip End Inversion(Temp/Time) 46/0900 1800 50/1100 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 4 4 DSI 1 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 3400 3000 Transport Wind (mph) NW 20 SW 6 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 68000 18000 ADI Early 56 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 8 Poor ADI Late 67 Good 3 Very Poor 21 Fair Max LVORI Early 6 5 8 Max LVORI Late 2 6 2 Min VSBY Early 2 Fog 7 5 Fog Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B F B Remarks...Brotak Profile Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 99 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 90 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 52 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Cooler. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 49 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 73 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 39 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH 78 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 34 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. $$ NCZ087-100600- Robeson- Including the city of Lumberton 856 AM EST Mon Jan 9 2023 Today Tonight Tue Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 Precip Type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Max/Min Temp 58 31 59 Min/Max RH (%) 47 94 35 Wind20ft/Early (mph) NW 7 G17 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) NW 8 Lgt/Var SW 4 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration Precip Begin Precip End Inversion(Temp/Time) 44/0900 1800 49/1100 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 4 4 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 3200 Transport Wind (mph) NW 20 SW 8 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 70000 25600 ADI Early 44 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 7 Poor ADI Late 67 Good 3 Very Poor 27 Fair Max LVORI Early 6 5 6 Max LVORI Late 2 6 2 Min VSBY Early 2 Fog 7 5 Fog Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability C F B Remarks...Brotak Stack Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 47 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 72 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 39 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH 77 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 33 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-100600- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 856 AM EST Mon Jan 9 2023 Today Tonight Tue Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 Precip Type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Max/Min Temp 60 32 60 Min/Max RH (%) 48 95 38 Wind20ft/Early (mph) NW 6 G18 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) NW 7 G17 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration Precip Begin Precip End Inversion(Temp/Time) 50/0600 1800 52/1100 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 4 4 DSI 1 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 3800 Transport Wind (mph) N 20 W 7 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 74000 26600 ADI Early 56 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 9 Poor ADI Late 68 Good 3 Very Poor 28 Fair Max LVORI Early 5 4 6 Max LVORI Late 2 6 2 Min VSBY Early 3 Fog 7 5 Fog Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability C F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 96 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 93 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 56 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Cooler. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 50 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 75 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 41 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 81 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 36 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-039-100600- Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 856 AM EST Mon Jan 9 2023 Today Tonight Tue Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 Precip Type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Max/Min Temp 59 32 60 Min/Max RH (%) 46 96 38 Wind20ft/Early (mph) NW 6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) N 6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration Precip Begin Precip End Inversion(Temp/Time) 49/0900 1800 50/1100 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 4 4 DSI 1 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 3500 Transport Wind (mph) N 18 W 7 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 66600 24500 ADI Early 56 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 9 Poor ADI Late 66 Good 3 Very Poor 28 Fair Max LVORI Early 5 5 6 Max LVORI Late 2 6 2 Min VSBY Early 2 Fog 7 5 Fog Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability C F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 99 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 53 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 76 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 35 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-100600- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 856 AM EST Mon Jan 9 2023 Today Tonight Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 Precip Type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Max/Min Temp 58 32 59 Min/Max RH (%) 46 97 39 Wind20ft/Early (mph) NW 8 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) NW 7 Lgt/Var SW 4 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration Precip Begin Precip End Inversion(Temp/Time) 46/0900 1800 49/1100 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 4 4 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 3500 Transport Wind (mph) N 17 SW 10 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 59500 35000 ADI Early 57 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 7 Poor ADI Late 63 Good 3 Very Poor 34 Fair Max LVORI Early 6 5 7 Max LVORI Late 2 7 2 Min VSBY Early 2 Fog 7 5 Fog Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability C F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 89 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 47 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 75 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH 83 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 34 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...RGZ