145 FXUS65 KBOI 161558 AFDBOI Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boise ID 958 AM MDT Sun Oct 16 2022 .DISCUSSION...High pressure centered over the area will continue to support clear skies and above-normal temperatures today. No updates. && .AVIATION...VFR with areas of haze. Smoke layers causing reduced visibility, mainly in Baker County Oregon and the west central Idaho mountains. Surface winds: variable 10 kt or less, except E-SE 10-20 kt with gusts to 25 kt in the Snake River Valley. Winds aloft at 10k feet MSL: E-SE 10-20 kt. && .PREV DISCUSSION... SHORT TERM...Today through Tuesday night...Continued clear through the period with warm days and cool nights, with high pressure aloft directly over our CWA. Surface winds generally east or northeast but lighter than yesterday. Locally smoky near ongoing wildfires. LONG TERM...Wednesday through Sunday...High pressure centered over Idaho will continue to bring above normal temperatures and dry conditions to the region through Friday. A significant pattern change is on the horizon for Saturday as an impressive upper level trough will move into the Pacific Northwest from British Columbia. There is medium-high confidence based on consistent model agreement in valley rain and mountain snow, gusty winds, and cooler temperatures this weekend, especially in the northern reaches of our CWA. Snow levels could drop as low as 4000-5000 feet MSL early Sunday, which would bring the first snow of the season to many high elevation areas in the Central Mountains. && .BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ID...None. OR...None. && $$ www.weather.gov/Boise www.facebook.com/NWSBoise www.twitter.com/NWSBoise DISCUSSION...BW AVIATION.....JT PREV SHORT TERM...LC PREV LONG TERM....SA