213 
FXUS66 KHNX 160017
AFDHNX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hanford CA
517 PM PDT Sat Oct 15 2022

.UPDATE...
Updated for Air Quality.

&&


.SYNOPSIS...
Above normal temperatures continue for one more day across the
region before a cooldown to near normal happens tomorrow and
Monday. A slight rebound in afternoon highs will be possible by
the middle of a next week followed by another retreat in max T's
by next weekend. 

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Current satellite imagery reveals an upper low centered over the 
Baja coast that is advecting some moisture from the southeast into
the desert areas of southern California. There is a slight chance
a shower or two could clip the far southeastern portion of Kern 
County this afternoon, but they would be short-lived. By tomorrow
afternoon highs are expected to drop several degrees as an upper 
level system approaching the Pacific Northwest introduces onshore 
flow to the region. This may lead to periods of breezy conditions 
across the west side hills and the valley over the next 24-48 
hours. NBM guidance is depicting highs to struggle to get much 
over 80 degrees Sunday and Monday as a result.

Highs are forecast rebound a few degrees on through the middle of
the week as another Rex block pattern forms over the Western 
CONUS, with a ridge centered over Idaho with the upper low 
meandering off the CA coast. This may hold highs steady 5 degrees 
above normal through Friday. Ensemble guidance is showing a chance
of another system approaching Central California by Saturday, 
which would give us dry and cool northwest flow aloft. This would 
also allow for highs next weekend to retreat back to near normal 
levels. 

&&


.AVIATION...
VFR conditions will prevail across Central California for at 
least the next 24 hours. 

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ISSUED:  10/15/2022 13:48
EXPIRES: 10/16/2022 23:59
On Sunday October 16 2022... Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups in
Fresno... Kern and Tulare Counties... and Sequoia National Park
and Forest.



&&

.CERTAINTY...

The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.

Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit
www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information
an/or to provide feedback.

&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

JMC

weather.gov/hanford