846 
FXUS63 KDLH 072053
AFDDLH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Duluth MN
353 PM CDT Fri Oct 7 2022

.DISCUSSION...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 352 PM CDT Fri Oct 7 2022

Summary: A slow warm up on the way while keeping fairly dry.

High pressure is firmly located over Minnesota. Meanwhile an area
of low pressure will cross Hudson Bay causing the pressure 
gradient to increase and thus a response in the wind field giving 
breezy westerly winds tonight into Saturday. Clouds have been a 
little slow to clear today, so kept temperatures a bit warmer, but
latest satellite trends suggest that that may have been the wrong
decision as the cloud field is quickly eroding from west to east.
Deep mixing of dry air tomorrow will give a mostly sunny day with
some high clouds drifting over.

A short wave will cross Sunday yet it will be hard-pressed to do
too much in terms of any significant precipitation and most of
this should be in the far western portion of the forecast area.
High pressure returns afterwards with a longer wave trough moving
in mid week which will give a much better shot at accumulating
precipitation while also warming the region up – perhaps back into
the 70s. Even included a mention of thunderstorms Tuesday evening
in this package as the anonymously warm air makes its way into the
Northland.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1223 PM CDT Fri Oct 7 2022

A mass of slow moving MVFR clouds will slowly exit to the east
this afternoon. Winds will eventually pick up from the west under
VFR skies giving gusts to 20 kt for much of Saturday. IFR
conditions not expected.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 352 PM CDT Fri Oct 7 2022

High pressure is dominant for the time being. An area of low 
pressure near Hudson Bay will affect the pressure gradient tonight
into Saturday giving strong (15 to 20 gusting to 30 knot) 
westerly winds again, but gusts should remain below gale criteria,
in the nearshore waters. Small craft advisories are in effect 
tonight into Saturday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DLH  33  57  39  55 /   0  10   0   0 
INL  32  55  35  54 /   0   0  10   0 
BRD  32  60  38  60 /   0   0   0  10 
HYR  27  58  34  58 /   0   0   0  10 
ASX  32  60  37  57 /   0  10   0   0 

&&

.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...None.
MN...None.
LS...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM CDT Saturday for LSZ121-146>148-
     150.

     Small Craft Advisory from 9 PM this evening to 10 AM CDT 
     Saturday for LSZ140>145.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Wolfe
AVIATION...Wolfe
MARINE...Wolfe