065 
FXUS64 KJAN 160835
AFDJAN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
335 AM CDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...New DISCUSSION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 322 AM CDT Fri Sep 16 2022

Today and Tonight:

A surface ridge will extend from the Deep South through the 
Northeast states today providing for continued mostly sunny and 
dry conditions. As the airmass continues to gradually modify and 
light winds become more southerly over much of the area, we'll see
dewpoints tick up a few more degrees today. Similarly, daytime 
temps will be another degree or two higher and we won't be quite 
as cool tonight into Saturday morning. Still, our break from 
impactful weather rolls on as we head into the weekend. /DL/

Saturday through Thursday:

Flow over the CONUS will quickly amplify this weekend as a low 
deepens off the U.S. West Coast. In response, a downstream ridge 
of high pressure is expected to develop and strengthen over the 
Southern High Plains/western Gulf Coast by early next week. It 
remains to be seen exactly how the pattern evolves later in the 
week, but a general consensus of guidance keeps ridging influences
over the central and southeastern CONUS through the work week,
while northwestern CONUS trough is slow to eject over the ridge.
At the current time, this looks to leave a corridor for what is
now Tropical Storm Fiona to move northward into a weakness of the
ridge and eventually be picked up by passing troughs over the
western Atlantic. Timing and strength of these various features
will be monitored, but there is no current threat from Fiona along
the Gulf Coast. Meanwhile, what is currently Eastern Pacific
Tropical Depression Thirteen-E and an additional area of potential
tropical development west of central Mexico are being monitored, 
and some possible system interaction with the West Coast 
trough/ridge pattern could occur by mid to late next week. The 
best course of action for the forecast is to stick with the 
consensus through the middle of the week. This means mostly dry
conditions and warming temperatures through next week, but a 
slight chance for a shower or thunderstorm can't be ruled out
around the Pine Belt in southern Mississippi as moisture creeps
north on Saturday or Sunday. /NF/

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1229 AM CDT Fri Sep 16 2022

Patchy fog can't be ruled out through sunrise this morning, 
mainly in river valleys. Otherwise, VFR conditions and light 
winds will prevail through the TAF period. /DL/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       88  64  89  67 /   0   0   0   0 
Meridian      87  63  89  67 /   0   0   0   0 
Vicksburg     90  64  91  68 /   0   0   0   0 
Hattiesburg   89  66  89  69 /   0   0  20   0 
Natchez       89  66  89  69 /   0   0  10   0 
Greenville    91  64  92  67 /   0   0   0   0 
Greenwood     90  64  90  67 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DL/NF/DL