752 
FXUS63 KEAX 101935
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
235 PM CDT Sat Sep 10 2022

.Discussion...
Issued at 200 PM CDT SAT SEP 10 2022

Overview: 

Showers and a few thunderstorms will continue to push into the area 
this evening as a cold front moves through. Rain amounts of
generally less than an inch are expected. Much cooler 
temperatures expected today and Sunday, but they will quickly 
rebound with mid to upper 80s expected for next week. 

Today:

Today an upper low and surface cold front have pushed toward 
northern MO. This pattern has allowed for the development of low 
clouds ahead and along the cold front. Showers and a few rumbles 
of thunder have lagged behind the initial cold front which is 
located south of the KC Metro as of the early afternoon. While 
there have been a few rumbles of thunder today, generally expect 
just rain showers this evening with the lack of any meaningful 
instability. As the front continues to slide southeast on and off 
shower activity will continue to be possible through the evening 
into the overnight, coming to an end before sunrise on Sunday. 
Rainfall amounts will generally be around 1/2 to 1 inch across 
the area.

As far as temperatures go, expect big differences from north to 
south. With the front bisecting the area today, northwestern MO 
looks to remain in the 60s today while the KC Metro and points 
south will see the upper 70s to low 80s.

With the return of moisture to the area, some fog development
can't be ruled out, mainly across far northwest MO where clouds 
are able to clear out overnight and winds behind the front 
diminish. 


Sunday:

With rain chances coming to an end, expect a fairly pleasant fall 
day on Sunday. The early morning may see some lingering clouds, but 
generally expect the return of sunshine across the area by late 
morning.While temperatures will remain fall-like in the mid 70s 
for most, the abundant sunshine may allow for a quick rebound and
some seeing temperatures near 80.


The workweek: 

The upper low will gradually drift east to start the week and 
ridging will return in its place. Temperatures on Monday are 
expected to be around 80 again, but our above normal temperatures 
quickly return for the mid-week. Mid 80s to near 90 can be expected 
each day will limited rain chances through the end of the week. 


&&

.Aviation...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday Afternoon)
Issued at 1214 PM CDT SAT SEP 10 2022

Expect ceilings to remain MVFR this afternoon with 
rain moving in through the early afternoon. Shower activity is
expected to move out around midnight. There is potential that
ceilings could briefly drop to IFR after rain moves out, but
potential is too low at this time. VFR conditions expected to
return Sunday morning. 


&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...HB
Aviation...HB