378 FNUS73 KMPX 151147 FWSMPX Spot Forecast for Ordway NE...OTHER National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 647 AM CDT Sun May 15 2022 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 15. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Weather conditions today won't be much different from what we saw Saturday. Winds will be getting gusty by the late morning through the afternoon, with humidities dropping to as low as 25 percent as temperatures warm to near 70. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Temperature.........61 at ignition...Max 70. RH..................49 percent at ignition...Min 31 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Winds west at 6 mph at ignition...otherwise Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph late in the morning. Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 1900 ft AGL increasing to 4300 ft AGL late in the morning, then increasing to 6700-8200 ft AGL late in the morning increasing to 8700-9200 ft AGL early in the afternoon decreasing to 5600-6400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 12 to 21 mph shifting to the northwest 23 to 26 mph in the afternoon. Mixing winds........West 12 to 21 mph shifting to the northwest 23 to 26 mph in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Fair /18600 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...fair /18600 knot-ft/ increasing to excellent (73000 knot-ft) late in the morning, then increasing to excellent (147500 knot-ft) in the afternoon decreasing to excellent (118100 knot-ft) late in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 moderate at ignition...max 5. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM Temp............61 63 67 68 69 69 69 68 68 RH..............49 44 39 36 32 31 31 31 31 20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W W W NW 20 FT wind spd..6 8 10 11 13 13 13 13 11 20 FT wind gust.12 14 17 18 19 20 20 19 18 Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 4.3 6.7 8.2 9.2 9.1 8.7 6.4 5.6 Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W NW Transp wind spd.12 20 21 21 23 23 23 26 24 Mixing wind dir.W W W W W W W W NW Mixing wind spd.12 20 21 21 23 23 23 26 24 Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 SDspl kt-ft/100019 73 120 148 185 182 174 148 118 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Temperature.........Min 45. RH..................Max 79 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph early in the evening becoming light, then becoming northwest 5 to 6 mph late in the evening. Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL decreasing to 300-1900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 13 to 20 mph shifting to the northwest 9 to 12 mph in the late evening and overnight. Mixing winds........West 13 to 20 mph shifting to the northwest 9 to 12 mph in the late evening and overnight. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (79600 knot-ft) decreasing to poor to fair (2700-27000 knot-ft). TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM Temp............67 59 55 52 49 48 RH..............33 49 61 69 74 74 20 ft wind......NW 10 W 6 W 4 NW 5 NW 5 NW 5 20 ft wind gust.16 10 8 8 7 8 Mix hgt (ft)....4700 700 500 400 400 300 Transport wind..NW 20 W 14 W 10 W 10 W 9 NW 9 Mixing wind.....NW 20 W 14 W 10 W 10 W 9 NW 9 Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 SDspl kt-ft/100080 9 4 4 3 3 .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Temperature.........Max 67. RH..................Min 32 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph late in the morning. Mixing height.......300-1700 ft AGL increasing to 4700-5700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 10 mph increasing to 21 to 24 mph late in the morning, then shifting to the south around 26 mph early in the afternoon shifting to the west early in the afternoon shifting to the northwest 17 to 24 mph. Mixing winds........Northwest 8 to 10 mph increasing to 21 to 24 mph late in the morning, then shifting to the south around 26 mph early in the afternoon shifting to the west early in the afternoon shifting to the northwest 17 to 24 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (2400-15600 knot-ft) increasing to excellent (60600 knot-ft) late in the morning, then increasing to excellent (94300 knot-ft) in the afternoon decreasing to excellent (71200 knot-ft) late in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 low. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM Temp............48 55 61 64 66 66 RH..............77 59 46 38 33 34 20 ft wind......NW 6 NW 7 NW 9 NW 12 NW 13 NW 11 20 ft wind gust.10 11 14 18 19 18 Mix hgt (ft)....300 1700 4500 5500 5600 5200 Transport wind..NW 8 NW 10 NW 23 NW 24 W 26 NW 21 Mixing wind.....NW 8 NW 10 NW 23 NW 24 W 26 NW 21 Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 SDspl kt-ft/10002 16 89 115 130 94 $$ Forecaster...Griesinger Requested by...Dale Maxson Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2212005.0/MPX .EMAIL dmaxson@TNC.ORG