437 
FNUS73 KAPX 211220
FWSAPX

Spot Forecast for North Star...USFS
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
820 AM EDT Thu Apr 21 2022

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1300 EDT on April 21. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (989) 732-9306, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Any lingering drizzle will quickly give way to clearing
skies this morning. Surface winds will increase this morning into the
afternoon...potentially gusting as high as 30-35mph...shifting from west
to southwest and then back to west again behind a weak cold front. Winds 
will diminish later tonight and become northerly with time as high 
pressure moves overhead. No RH or temperature issues are anticipated. 

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Becoming Sunny (5-15 percent). 
Max temperature.....48-53. 
Min humidity........56 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 11 mph with gusts to around 20 
                    mph. 
Mixing height.......1100-1300 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....West 18 to 23 mph. 
Vent rate...........Fair to good (200-300). 
Haines Index........3 to 5 OR or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential 
                    for large plume dominated fire growth. 

TIME (EDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........13  7   6   5   5   
Weather cov.....                    
Weather type....                    
Tstm cov........                    
Temp............49  51  52  53  53  
RH..............74  66  63  59  57  
20 FT wind dir..W   SW  W   W   W   
20 FT wind spd..10  11  11  11  10  
20 FT wind gust.18  19  20  19  18  
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.2 
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  W   W   W   
Transp wind spd.18  22  23  23  21  
Haines index....3   3   4   4   5   
VRate/100.......2   3   3   3   2   

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). 
Min temperature.....35-40. 
Max humidity........85 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 8 mph with gusts to around 16 
                    mph early in the evening becoming light. 
Mixing height.......0-800 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....West 9 to 16 mph shifting to the northwest 2 to 
                    5 mph early in the evening, then shifting to 
                    the northeast 2 to 3 mph after midnight. 
Vent rate...........Poor (0). 
Haines Index........4 to 5 OR or low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential 
                    for large plume dominated fire growth. 

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 
Sky (%).........6   7   9   9   9   9   10  11  11  14  17  20  
Weather cov.....                                                
Weather type....                                                
Tstm cov........                                                
Temp............52  50  48  46  43  41  39  38  37  36  35  35  
RH..............56  58  60  65  73  76  82  82  82  85  85  85  
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   NW  NW  N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   
20 FT wind spd..8   6   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   
20 FT wind gust.16  13  10  10  10  10  8   8   7   7   7   7   
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  N   NE  NE  E   E   
Transp wind spd.16  9   5   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   
VRate/100.......1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   

$$
Forecaster...Faith Fredrickson
Requested by...Brian Stearns
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2209752.0/APX
.DELDT 04/21/22