309 FNUS73 KDDC 011500 FWSDDC Spot Forecast for Lowe Crossing Broadcast...USDA Forest Service National Weather Service Dodge City KS 1000 AM CDT Fri Apr 1 2022 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CDT on April 01. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (620) 225-6514, if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... Showers and a few isolated thunderstorms will be possible briefly this afternoon as a cold front pushes eastward across southwest Kansas. Southerly winds will continue to increase ahead of the approaching front with gusts upward of 25 to 35 mph possible by mid-day. A change in wind direction is expected early to mid- afternoon as the cold front pushes through extreme southwest Kansas. Gusty north winds will develop behind the front and persist through early evening before subsiding. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of showers early in the afternoon. CWR.................0 percent increasing to 29 percent in the afternoon. Max temperature.....Around 63. Min humidity........25 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 16 to 17 mph shifting to the north 19 to 21 mph late in the afternoon. Gusts up to 37 mph. Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL increasing to 8100-9100 ft AGL in the afternoon. Transport winds.....Southwest 28 to 35 mph shifting to the northwest 25 to 26 mph late in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 to 6 OR very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth to high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (CDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........80 75 79 Weather cov..... CHANCE CHANCE Weather type....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 30 30 Temp............60 64 61 RH..............28 28 33 20 ft wind......SW 16 W 17 N 20 20 ft wind gust.23 24 29 Mix hgt (ft)....6400 9100 8300 Transport wind..SW 35 W 28 NW 25 Haines index....6 5 3 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming mostly clear (10-20 percent). CWR.................10 percent decreasing to 0 percent. Min temperature.....Around 30. Max humidity........82 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......North winds 12 to 21 mph with gusts to around 29 mph decreasing to 5 to 9 mph late in the evening, then becoming light after midnight becoming northwest around 5 mph early in the morning. Mixing height.......6700-7700 ft AGL decreasing to 100-300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 24 to 28 mph becoming northwest 6 to 8 mph. Haines Index........4 to 5 OR low potential for large plume dominated fire growth to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........54 8 5 2 2 1 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ CWR.............10 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............60 53 46 41 38 36 RH..............33 41 53 65 73 75 20 ft wind......N 21 N 14 N 9 N 5 N 3 NW 4 20 ft wind gust.29 21 12 5 Mix hgt (ft)....7700 4800 900 100 200 300 Transport wind..N 28 N 24 N 14 N 7 N 6 W 7 Haines index....4 4 4 5 5 5 .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent). CWR.................0 percent. Max temperature.....Around 72. Min humidity........21 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......South winds 5 to 13 mph increasing to 17 to 19 mph with gusts to around 26 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......100-1800 ft AGL increasing to 7400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 8 to 9 mph shifting to the south 9 to 16 mph late in the morning, then increasing to 20 to 22 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 to 6 OR moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth to high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........2 1 0 1 1 0 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............34 36 49 57 64 68 RH..............78 72 46 34 27 23 20 ft wind......W 6 W 6 S 9 S 13 S 19 S 18 20 ft wind gust. 11 18 26 26 Mix hgt (ft)....100 500 1800 4000 5900 6900 Transport wind..W 8 W 9 S 9 S 16 S 21 S 21 Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 6 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY... Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds around 15 mph. .MONDAY... Cooler. Mostly cloudy with slight chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 50s. Northeast winds around 11 mph. .TUESDAY... Warmer. Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds around 10 mph. $$ Forecaster...J JOHNSON Requested by...Tom Eikenberry Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2207815.0/DDC .DELDT 04/01/22 .EMAIL thomas.eikenberry@usda.gov