925 FNUS74 KMOB 141135 FWSMOB Spot Forecast for BSE06...USFS National Weather Service Mobile AL 635 AM CDT Mon Mar 14 2022 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on March 14. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...One more dry day is on tap today with rain shower and thunderstorm chances increasing quickly tonight into Tuesday. Relative humidity values should remain above critical thresholds across southwestern AL. Dispersions will be good today for the burn area, with fair dispersions for Tuesday. Southerly transport winds around 10 to 15mph today become northeasterly at 10 to 15mph for Tuesday. Fog potential and other remarks...Fog not expected. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Max temperature.....Around 69. Min humidity........28 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL. Mixing height (m)...183-1676 meters AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 13 to 18 mph shifting to the south around 12 mph late in the afternoon. Transport winds m/s.Southeast 5 to 8 meters/second. Dispersion index....21 increasing to 69. LVORI...............2. Stability class.....2. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........18 20 23 25 24 23 22 27 32 37 39 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............35 38 47 54 59 63 65 67 68 69 68 RH..............72 67 49 40 34 30 29 28 28 28 32 20 FT wind dir..E E E ESE ESE SE SE SE SSE SSE SE 20 FT wind spd..2 3 4 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 3 20 FT wind gust.6 8 10 11 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.2 1.8 2.3 3.1 3.9 4.7 5.0 5.2 5.5 5.5 Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.7 Transp wind dir.ESE ESE ESE SE SE SSE SSE SSE S S S Transp wind spd.18 17 16 15 14 14 13 13 12 12 12 Trans wind dir..ESE ESE ESE SE SE SSE SSE SSE S S S Trans spd (m/s).8 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 Dispersion idx..17 24 35 44 54 63 68 70 69 70 70 LVORI...........2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of rain showers overnight. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Min temperature.....Around 48. Max humidity........100 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Mixing height.......300 ft AGL. Mixing height (m)...91-1676 meters AGL. Transport winds.....South 9 to 12 mph shifting to the east 5 to 14 mph early in the evening. Transport winds m/s.East 2 to 6 meters/second. Dispersion index....70 decreasing to 5. LVORI...............5. Stability class.....4. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........40 42 44 46 48 52 55 59 62 66 69 75 Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20 20 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............66 61 58 55 53 52 50 49 49 49 48 49 RH..............37 48 57 69 80 83 93 96 96 100 100 100 20 FT wind dir..ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE E E E E E E 20 FT wind spd..3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 20 FT wind gust.10 8 8 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 12 12 Mix hgt (kft)...5.5 2.2 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 Mix hgt (km)....1.7 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 Transp wind dir.S SSE E E E E E E E E E E Transp wind spd.12 9 14 14 14 14 12 10 9 7 6 5 Trans wind dir..S SSE E E E E E E E E E E Trans spd (m/s).5 4 6 6 6 6 5 4 4 3 3 2 Dispersion idx..70 5 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 LVORI...........1 3 3 3 4 5 6 6 6 7 7 8 .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of rain showers early in the morning, then rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of pcpn......90 percent. LAL.................No Tstms until 1300, then 1-8 strikes. Max temperature.....Around 67. Min humidity........70 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 6 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL. Mixing height (m)...91-488 meters AGL. Transport winds.....East 5 to 14 mph increasing to 15 to 18 mph late in the morning. Transport winds m/s.East 3 to 8 meters/second becoming 4 to 8 meters/second early in the morning, then increasing to around 8 meters/second late in the afternoon. Dispersion index....9 increasing to 26. LVORI...............6. Stability class.....3. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........82 88 90 91 93 93 92 92 91 91 90 87 Weather cov.....SCH DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Chc of pcpn (%).20 80 80 80 80 80 80 90 90 90 90 90 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 Temp............49 49 51 54 58 62 65 66 67 67 66 65 RH..............100 96 93 100 93 81 75 73 70 73 75 78 20 FT wind dir..E E E ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE 20 FT wind spd..4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT wind gust.12 12 13 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 Transp wind dir.E E E E E ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE Transp wind spd.5 6 8 12 14 15 16 17 18 18 17 17 Trans wind dir..E E E E E ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE Trans spd (m/s).2 3 4 5 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 Dispersion idx..4 8 10 13 17 20 24 26 27 26 25 25 LVORI...........9 8 7 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ Forecaster...25 Requested by...Kevin Mock Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2205599.0/MOB .DELDT 03/14/22 .FormatterVersion 1.0.26 .EMAIL joseph.k.mock@usda.gov