183 
FXUS64 KHUN 021447
AFDHUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
847 AM CST Wed Mar 2 2022

.NEAR TERM...(Rest of Today)
Issued at 847 AM CST Wed Mar 2 2022

Another beautiful day is forecast across the Tennessee Valley today.
The atmosphere remains dry with surface high pressure centered near
Houston, TX. PW values are currently down around 0.3-0.4 inches.
Therefore, expect skies will remain sunny with high temperatures
climbing into the low to mid 70s this afternoon.

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Friday)
Issued at 243 CST Wed Mar 2 2022

Given the dry airmass in place, temperatures will drop quickly after
sunset. The overnight lows will be in the low to mid 40s. Rinse and
repeat forecast for Thursday and Friday as afternoon highs top out in
the mid 70s. Biggest change towards the end of the work week will be
an increase in moisture as the aformentioned high pressure center 
shifts a bit to the east bringing in return flow off the Gulf of 
Mexico. Only impact to the sensible weather will be an increase in 
clouds on Friday. Warmer overnight temperatures are also expected
Friday as lows only drop down into the lower 50s. Otherwise, 
fantastic weather to finish out the first week of March. 

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Tuesday) 
Issued at 243 AM CST Wed Mar 2 2022

An unsettled weather pattern is expected for the new week. A
backdoor/wedge type front that was pushed to the S-SW by cold high 
pressure heading across the Great Lakes and New England region, 
should return to the NE as a warm front on Saturday. Higher terrain 
to our north and east generally lessens a colder impact those fronts 
can have - especially to areas our east. A southerly flow should
return, helping high temperatures warm into the mid 70s to close 
out the week. 

In the meanwhile, clouds and moisture preceding a system forecast to
impact much of the western and central CONUS will start heading  
towards the east. The main surface low with this system should reach
the Great Lakes region on Sun/Mon. A gradual increase in moisture 
and instability will return shower chances to the forecast area 
starting late Sat night continuing into Sun. Have maintained a 
scaling of higher rain chances for our western areas, and drier to 
the east. Despite clouds and somewhat higher rain chances, Sunday 
should feature rather warm temperatures for this time of year, with 
highs rising into the mid and upper 70s. A cold front trailing south 
of the main surface low should make a move towards the area Monday 
night. The approach of this front will provide enough lift to add a 
mention of thunder to the forecast from late Sun night into Mon 
evening. Some of these storms could become strong given higher shear 
and instability present before the front passes Mon night. With 
higher rain chances, highs on Mon will warm to around 70. Post system
showers per the blends will continue on Tuesday, so kept rain 
chances going. Colder air moving in after the front passes will be 
apparent, with highs on Tue only warming into the mid and upper 50s 

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Thursday morning)
Issued at 509 AM CST Wed Mar 2 2022

VFR conditions with light and variable winds are expected during the
TAF period.


&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...MA
SHORT TERM...GH
LONG TERM...RSB
AVIATION...GH


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