199 FNUS72 KMHX 020955 FWSMHX Spot Forecast for C 50 Little Rd...USFS National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 455 AM EST Wed Feb 2 2022 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EST on February 02. If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather Service in Newport at (252)223-2328. .DISCUSSION... High pressure continue to ridge in from the north today, and then slide offshore tonight. A slow moving cold front will move through the area late Friday into early Saturday. High pressure then rebuilds over the area briefly before another low pressure system develops along the coast Sunday. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny then becoming mostly sunny. Patchy fog early in the morning. Max temperature.....Around 64. Min humidity........52 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east around 5 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......Max 2200 ft agl. Transport winds.....East 3 to 5 mph. Vent Rate...........Max 8395 mph-ft. LVORI...............Max 9. ADI.................Max 11. Haines index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Sfc pressure........30.27 to 30.37 inHg. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%)............68 66 56 35 24 31 43 49 48 45 44 46 Weather cov........PTY PTY Weather type.......FOG FOG Tstm cov........... Temp...............34 34 38 44 50 55 58 61 62 64 62 58 RH.................96 100 92 79 71 61 57 53 54 52 56 64 20 FT wind dir.....NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E E 20 FT wind spd.....2 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 3 4 4 4 20 FT wind gust.... 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 Mix hgt (kft)......0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.2 1.7 0.8 Transp wind dir....NE N NE E NE E E E E E E E Transp wind spd....3 5 3 3 3 3 3 5 3 3 5 5 LVORI..............8 9 6 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 ADI................3 4 3 4 4 5 7 11 9 9 10 4 Haines index.......4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 VRate mph-ft/1000..1 2 1 2 3 4 5 8 7 8 8 4 Stability class....C C C B B B B B B C C C .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Min temperature.....Around 46. Max humidity........100 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light, then becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph after midnight. Mixing height.......Min 300 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 12 mph. Vent Rate...........Min 1380 mph-ft. LVORI...............Max 9. ADI.................Min 2. Haines index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Sfc pressure........30.24 to 30.30 inHg. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%)............51 54 55 59 60 57 51 48 47 47 46 46 Weather cov........ Weather type....... Tstm cov........... Temp...............54 50 48 47 47 46 47 47 48 48 49 49 RH.................74 86 93 96 96 100 96 96 96 100 96 100 20 FT wind dir.....E E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT wind spd.....4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 5 5 20 FT wind gust....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 Mix hgt (kft)......0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 Transp wind dir....E E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE Transp wind spd....8 8 7 7 12 12 8 5 5 5 6 9 LVORI..............3 5 6 7 6 8 8 8 8 9 8 8 ADI................5 5 5 5 8 8 4 2 3 3 4 6 Haines index.......3 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 VRate mph-ft/1000..5 3 3 3 5 4 3 1 1 1 2 4 Stability class....E E E E E E F F E E E E .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....Around 71. Min humidity........54 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 12 mph. Mixing height.......Max 3600 ft agl. Transport winds.....South 8 to 16 mph increasing to 18 to 22 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Vent Rate...........Max 74060 mph-ft. LVORI...............Max 8. ADI.................Max 54. Haines index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Sfc pressure........30.19 to 30.29 inHg. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%)............46 38 39 50 48 54 Weather cov........ Weather type.......NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........... Temp...............49 53 63 69 69 68 RH.................100 89 72 57 54 59 20 ft wind.........SE 5 S 6 S 8 S 10 S 11 S 10 20 ft wind gust.... 14 18 18 18 Mix hgt (ft).......500 700 2200 3200 3300 2700 Transport wind.....SE 8 S 13 S 18 S 21 S 22 S 21 LVORI..............8 5 3 1 1 1 ADI................6 10 48 50 53 47 Haines index.......3 3 3 3 3 3 VRate mph-ft/1000..4 9 40 64 70 56 Stability class....C C C D D D $$ Forecaster...Kearns Requested by...David Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2202007.0/MHX .DELDT 02/02/22 .EMAIL david.l.nelson@usda.gov